{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66ae64b7-f51b-4d57-862c-5a687be603d5", "symbol": "DXJA", "name": "WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF - USD Hedged Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.319, "architecture_energy": 50.284, "architecture_maturity": 81.552, "architecture_confidence": 70.003, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.26, "rotation_up": 50.77, "upward_expansion": 80.71, "deceleration": 68.58, "rotation_down": 27.39, "downward_expansion": 7.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.298667, 70.084546, 68.981524, 67.826968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 71.300003, "trend_reference": 66.305666, "distance_from_trend": 0.075323, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.734872, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.525627, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.174293, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.110246, "excess_performance": 0.027363, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075323, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074478, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.525627, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010438, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.061743, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103478, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.110246, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.638587, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1393, "relative_activity": 0.755157, "balance": 0.638587, "dry_up": 1.133548, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025623, "annualized_volatility": 0.186143, "from_high_reference": -0.00014, "from_low_reference": 0.467984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.305666, "fair_value_reference": 46.734872, "structural_low": 61.119999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 51, "median_return": 0.027293, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.01631, "regime_survival": 0.843137, "best_return": 0.097361, "worst_return": -0.169775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.054068, "positive_rate": 0.823529, "directional_follow_through": 0.823529, "median_excess_return": 0.042962, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.153562, "worst_return": -0.023824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.056095, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.12815, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.367722, "worst_return": -0.025003, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": 63.230314, "energy": 56.036895, "activity_lines": [ 69.643333, 69.343091, 67.916666, 66.836623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.0, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 1947.2, "trend": 65.513, "fair_value": 46.232211, "relative_strength": 8.099965, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.566826, "energy": 61.492383, "activity_lines": [ 70.01, 69.713636, 68.343524, 67.220838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.529999, "volume": 3132, "typical_volume": 2000.55, "trend": 65.922, "fair_value": 46.479423, "relative_strength": 5.330499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.988916, "energy": 46.814326, "activity_lines": [ 69.867333, 69.757272, 68.594904, 67.48 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.300003, "volume": 1393, "typical_volume": 1844.65, "trend": 66.305666, "fair_value": 46.734872, "relative_strength": 6.174293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.319246, "energy": 50.283682, "activity_lines": [ 70.298667, 70.084546, 68.981524, 67.826968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }