{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66af3a35-ed3a-43ae-a608-8ce742b05af1", "symbol": "SALASAR", "name": "Salasar Techno Engineering Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.639, "architecture_energy": 84.63, "architecture_maturity": 57.475, "architecture_confidence": 90.318, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.38, "rotation_up": 13.17, "upward_expansion": 20.41, "deceleration": 37.99, "rotation_down": 78.17, "downward_expansion": 98.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.938, 6.110545, 6.494429, 6.714108 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.88, "trend_reference": 7.071, "distance_from_trend": -0.168434, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.393062, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.525541, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.738538, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.288996, "excess_performance": -0.245287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.168434, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12549, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.525541, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132021, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247385, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.288996, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.559887, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13097932, "relative_activity": 0.880927, "balance": 0.559887, "dry_up": 0.839803, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058346, "annualized_volatility": 0.401045, "from_high_reference": -0.464968, "from_low_reference": 0.051878 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.071, "fair_value_reference": 12.393062, "structural_low": 5.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.037643, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.041075, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.308977, "worst_return": -0.214355, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.098118, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.076673, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.317197, "worst_return": -0.338063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.145148, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.09213, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.053645, "worst_return": -0.418865, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.244231, "energy": 88.866466, "activity_lines": [ 6.174, 6.460364, 6.751762, 6.977677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.97, "volume": 13489187, "typical_volume": 16033502.5, "trend": 7.27, "fair_value": 12.445508, "relative_strength": -21.459687, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.151463, "energy": 88.358494, "activity_lines": [ 6.06, 6.334909, 6.665095, 6.886946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.88, "volume": 10221689, "typical_volume": 15606200.5, "trend": 7.169, "fair_value": 12.420245, "relative_strength": -24.377009, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.687845, "energy": 88.127566, "activity_lines": [ 5.989333, 6.212909, 6.576952, 6.797269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.88, "volume": 13097932, "typical_volume": 14868355.45, "trend": 7.071, "fair_value": 12.393062, "relative_strength": -24.738538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.639001, "energy": 84.629972, "activity_lines": [ 5.938, 6.110545, 6.494429, 6.714108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }