{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66b4c101-3147-4f6c-b07a-465b080b81bb", "symbol": "CEBE", "name": "iShares iBonds Dec 2026 Term \u20ac Corp UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.594, "architecture_energy": 54.796, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.079, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.15, "rotation_up": 67.29, "upward_expansion": 85.68, "deceleration": 61.16, "rotation_down": 19.44, "downward_expansion": 7.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.571867, 5.567982, 5.560243, 5.55248 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.576, "trend_reference": 5.542, "distance_from_trend": 0.006135, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.350375, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04217, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.560258, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.010694, "excess_performance": -0.160198, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006135, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003943, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.04217, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001212, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135603, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021886, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010694, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.560305, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63566, "relative_activity": 0.895028, "balance": 18.560305, "dry_up": 1.176504, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.002469, "annualized_volatility": 0.003413, "from_high_reference": -0.002147, "from_low_reference": 0.022181 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.542, "fair_value_reference": 5.350375, "structural_low": 5.455, "invalidation": "A decisive 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5.566, "volume": 101599, "typical_volume": 74885.65, "trend": 5.533133, "fair_value": 5.344405, "relative_strength": -13.459575, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.975825, "energy": 81.802502, "activity_lines": [ 5.562933, 5.559, 5.550805, 5.543503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.567, "volume": 102204, "typical_volume": 76345.05, "trend": 5.535333, "fair_value": 5.345899, "relative_strength": -11.83282, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.085871, "energy": 74.651398, "activity_lines": [ 5.564867, 5.561036, 5.553067, 5.545688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.57, "volume": 85653, "typical_volume": 72017.45, "trend": 5.537633, "fair_value": 5.347393, "relative_strength": -11.276967, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.881199, "energy": 75.1693, "activity_lines": [ 5.567067, 5.563291, 5.555424, 5.547925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.572, "volume": 82804, "typical_volume": 71121.65, "trend": 5.539767, "fair_value": 5.348881, "relative_strength": -11.455487, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.720467, "energy": 69.500348, "activity_lines": [ 5.5692, 5.565473, 5.557757, 5.550142 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.576, "volume": 63566, "typical_volume": 71021.25, "trend": 5.542, "fair_value": 5.350375, "relative_strength": -13.560258, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.593947, "energy": 54.795949, "activity_lines": [ 5.571867, 5.567982, 5.560243, 5.55248 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }