{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66dc84a9-4001-4f6c-b681-4a214d2a7381", "symbol": "GLDVD", "name": "UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD dis", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.69, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.008, "architecture_energy": 93.903, "architecture_maturity": 35.441, "architecture_confidence": 71.127, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.97, "rotation_up": 84.31, "upward_expansion": 97.46, "deceleration": 41.9, "rotation_down": 8.95, "downward_expansion": 21.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.2412, 13.069273, 12.847781, 12.719465 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.456, "trend_reference": 12.599136, "distance_from_trend": 0.06801, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.340551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301285, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.312485, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.055157, "excess_performance": -0.027726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06801, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034821, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301285, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035201, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003125, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050267, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.055157, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.046703, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13867, "relative_activity": 1.712694, "balance": 2.046703, "dry_up": 1.938375, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016109, "annualized_volatility": 0.140432, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.221642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.599136, "fair_value_reference": 10.340551, "structural_low": 11.5, "invalidation": "A 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12.640667, 12.576363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.982, "volume": 12393, "typical_volume": 8372.9, "trend": 12.508009, "fair_value": 10.279824, "relative_strength": -1.725022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.29301, "energy": 81.445695, "activity_lines": [ 12.983067, 12.856182, 12.68781, 12.609277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.314, "volume": 12439, "typical_volume": 8402.35, "trend": 12.554073, "fair_value": 10.309824, "relative_strength": 0.619536, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.077536, "energy": 90.002784, "activity_lines": [ 13.109067, 12.9576, 12.764086, 12.661276 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.456, "volume": 13867, "typical_volume": 8096.6, "trend": 12.599136, "fair_value": 10.340551, "relative_strength": 0.312485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.008089, "energy": 93.90253, "activity_lines": [ 13.2412, 13.069273, 12.847781, 12.719465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }