{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "66de0378-a6a6-4048-8c3a-ab5784738c62",
    "symbol": "002452",
    "name": "Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 25.875,
    "architecture_energy": 19.253,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.872,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.85,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.84,
        "rotation_up": 25.63,
        "upward_expansion": 50.36,
        "deceleration": 86.79,
        "rotation_down": 40.48,
        "downward_expansion": 27.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.014667,
        11.265091,
        11.242529,
        11.152492
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.5,
    "trend_reference": 10.893885,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055638,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.851492,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.46469,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 17.445616,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.154923,
    "excess_performance": 0.147523,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055638,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108051,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.46469,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054422,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174456,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074604,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154923,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.494616,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 78484811,
      "relative_activity": 0.730917,
      "balance": 1.494616,
      "dry_up": 0.877137,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.099424,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.463215,
      "from_high_reference": -0.170274,
      "from_low_reference": 0.63308
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.893885,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.851492,
      "structural_low": 9.639694,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.016131,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018136,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.085546,
        "worst_return": -0.162518,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.013391,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043447,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.076923,
        "worst_return": -0.064729,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.007375,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.123935,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.137027,
        "worst_return": -0.053476,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.145215,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.109826,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161788,
        "worst_return": 0.128642,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.156379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
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        "return": -0.02125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.050802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.09883,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 7.777021,
        "relative_strength": 14.416452,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 36.241016,
        "energy": 25.533804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.68,
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        "typical_volume": 125829670.05,
        "trend": 10.695903,
        "fair_value": 7.799856,
        "relative_strength": 14.211461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.461592,
        "energy": 9.179592,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.182,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.82,
        "volume": 71032007,
        "typical_volume": 111627149.25,
        "trend": 10.782899,
        "fair_value": 7.822843,
        "relative_strength": 16.913893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.994355,
        "energy": 18.912717,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.929333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.5,
        "volume": 78484811,
        "typical_volume": 107378539.95,
        "trend": 10.893885,
        "fair_value": 7.851492,
        "relative_strength": 17.445616,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.875277,
        "energy": 19.252909,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}