{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66f9a9d7-49ac-40eb-bc93-472bbbeba0de", "symbol": "IBEX", "name": "IBEX Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.589, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.975, "architecture_energy": 79.238, "architecture_maturity": 20.423, "architecture_confidence": 64.671, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.61, "rotation_up": 78.72, "upward_expansion": 92.93, "deceleration": 41.94, "rotation_down": 9.23, "downward_expansion": 17.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.457333, 33.962182, 32.455667, 31.64914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 37.25, "trend_reference": 31.56, "distance_from_trend": 0.180292, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.437564, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.524293, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.043587, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.064894, "excess_performance": -0.122559, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.180292, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04072, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.524293, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145724, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030436, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143702, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064894, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.875042, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 546548, "relative_activity": 1.007471, "balance": 0.875042, "dry_up": 0.859012, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073733, "annualized_volatility": 0.429202, "from_high_reference": -0.133519, "from_low_reference": 0.436006 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.56, "fair_value_reference": 24.437564, "structural_low": 25.94, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.013686, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.004516, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.184131, "worst_return": -0.058855, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.003049, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.077355, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.119277, "worst_return": -0.197432, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.018902, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.155407, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.333133, "worst_return": -0.133761, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 24.037051, "relative_strength": -14.254386, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.179114, "energy": 13.566624, "activity_lines": [ 31.704667, 31.337091, 30.506476, 30.709398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.39, "volume": 458939, "typical_volume": 565049.85, "trend": 31.788333, "fair_value": 24.136538, "relative_strength": -4.241706, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.934886, "energy": 52.361263, "activity_lines": [ 33.072, 32.082, 31.03481, 30.936129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.46, "volume": 456412, "typical_volume": 548690.2, "trend": 31.621333, "fair_value": 24.226859, "relative_strength": -7.865485, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.290493, "energy": 52.066935, "activity_lines": [ 33.498, 32.420364, 31.348429, 31.043978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.34, "volume": 402139, "typical_volume": 542027.55, "trend": 31.588667, "fair_value": 24.325064, "relative_strength": -3.258495, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.186499, "energy": 59.412885, "activity_lines": [ 34.334667, 33.047818, 31.827095, 31.283892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.25, "volume": 546548, "typical_volume": 542494.8, "trend": 31.56, "fair_value": 24.437564, "relative_strength": -3.043587, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.974943, "energy": 79.237953, "activity_lines": [ 35.457333, 33.962182, 32.455667, 31.64914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }