{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6706066e-8406-4a79-8731-721f44f6dd95", "symbol": "CREG", "name": "Smart Powerr Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.281, "architecture_energy": 72.059, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.514, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.08, "rotation_up": 19.4, "upward_expansion": 16.35, "deceleration": 38.38, "rotation_down": 67.59, "downward_expansion": 94.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.472168, 1.091039, 2.214673, 3.563541 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.219475, "trend_reference": 5.855217, "distance_from_trend": -0.962516, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 64.481702, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.996596, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -97.980942, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.981862, "excess_performance": -1.169315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.962516, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.384575, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.996596, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.979809, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106856, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.981862, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.205436, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63846, "relative_activity": 0.000771, "balance": 2.205436, "dry_up": 0.016735, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 9.160321, "annualized_volatility": 4.082209, "from_high_reference": -0.991749, "from_low_reference": 0.686972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.855217, "fair_value_reference": 64.481702, "structural_low": 0.1301, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 52, "median_return": -0.047669, "positive_rate": 0.326923, "directional_follow_through": 0.673077, "median_excess_return": -0.073952, "regime_survival": 0.903846, "best_return": 1.08603, "worst_return": -0.921149, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.151596, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.239833, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.410256, "worst_return": -0.835294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.392589, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.36408, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.556604, "worst_return": -0.836765, "sufficient": true }, { 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.612168, "energy": 44.610751, "activity_lines": [ 1.833333, 2.199473, 3.248224, 4.830854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.175049, "volume": 4967263, "typical_volume": 88346108.2, "trend": 6.744568, "fair_value": 66.075167, "relative_strength": -98.398423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.487933, "energy": 55.551713, "activity_lines": [ 1.211683, 1.747591, 2.845552, 4.378143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.2, "volume": 224412, "typical_volume": 88338318.85, "trend": 6.301235, "fair_value": 65.236705, "relative_strength": -98.124749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.892221, "energy": 68.421744, "activity_lines": [ 0.771346, 1.383717, 2.499185, 3.955913 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.219475, "volume": 63846, "typical_volume": 82769273.8, "trend": 5.855217, "fair_value": 64.481702, "relative_strength": -97.980942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.280542, "energy": 72.058764, "activity_lines": [ 0.472168, 1.091039, 2.214673, 3.563541 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }