{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6707a2e2-380a-4642-8d2c-a76a4db36c81",
    "symbol": "MONY",
    "name": "MONY Group plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.11,
    "architecture_energy": 73.348,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.502,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.307,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.33,
        "rotation_up": 74.44,
        "upward_expansion": 90.86,
        "deceleration": 45.1,
        "rotation_down": 12.67,
        "downward_expansion": 15.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 201.4,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.143779,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 209.284496,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.037674,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.06083,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.208879,
    "excess_performance": 0.157644,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.143779,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005954,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037674,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150801,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010608,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148276,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208879,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.889653,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.84847,
      "balance": 2.889653,
      "dry_up": 1.110807,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049571,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.325874,
      "from_high_reference": -0.084831,
      "from_low_reference": 0.442521
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 209.284496,
      "structural_low": 139.616712,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.461538,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 210.954478,
        "relative_strength": -1.4006,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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        "energy": 73.518761,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 198.8135,
        "volume": 8034557,
        "typical_volume": 6913819.45,
        "trend": 174.927494,
        "fair_value": 210.463056,
        "relative_strength": 1.318552,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.281219,
        "energy": 84.794332,
        "activity_lines": [
          191.327327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 191.4318,
        "volume": 7213134,
        "typical_volume": 6874398.45,
        "trend": 175.198865,
        "fair_value": 209.937113,
        "relative_strength": -3.174077,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.058914,
        "energy": 75.583984,
        "activity_lines": [
          192.383233,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 196.5,
        "volume": 8521806,
        "typical_volume": 6779603.3,
        "trend": 175.709134,
        "fair_value": 209.577822,
        "relative_strength": -1.43866,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.375309,
        "energy": 76.730555,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.459753,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 201.4,
        "volume": 5610305,
        "typical_volume": 6612263.4,
        "trend": 176.082916,
        "fair_value": 209.284496,
        "relative_strength": 1.06083,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.109858,
        "energy": 73.348326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}