{ "ticker": { "uuid": "670bc2ff-68a3-48b8-ace4-407e5e8b675f", "symbol": "SEI", "name": "SEI_SEI MEDICAL", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.183, "architecture_energy": 22.687, "architecture_maturity": 95.637, "architecture_confidence": 68.045, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.15, "rotation_up": 31.59, "upward_expansion": 19.4, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 19.48, "downward_expansion": 53.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.751333, 1.716182, 1.72781, 1.817967 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.78, "trend_reference": 1.941031, "distance_from_trend": -0.082962, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.773257, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.358155, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.319576, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.188251, "excess_performance": -0.380576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082962, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06856, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.358155, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038103, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283196, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013704, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188251, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.411865, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 140100, "relative_activity": 0.16605, "balance": 0.411865, "dry_up": 0.812473, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070873, "annualized_volatility": 0.388933, "from_high_reference": -0.389862, "from_low_reference": 0.194631 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.941031, "fair_value_reference": 2.773257, "structural_low": 1.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.010936, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.042728, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.063291, "worst_return": -0.14, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.11, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.215629, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.11, "worst_return": -0.11, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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1.726, 1.683091, 1.741619, 1.844588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.72, "volume": 125800, "typical_volume": 872740.0, "trend": 1.950342, "fair_value": 2.783497, "relative_strength": -32.103958, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.272542, "energy": 23.414608, "activity_lines": [ 1.73, 1.695091, 1.730429, 1.828957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.78, "volume": 140100, "typical_volume": 843720.0, "trend": 1.941031, "fair_value": 2.773257, "relative_strength": -28.319576, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.182908, "energy": 22.686747, "activity_lines": [ 1.751333, 1.716182, 1.72781, 1.817967 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }