{ "ticker": { "uuid": "672f7ebd-55ac-41b7-9c11-108bebd042d1", "symbol": "BBP", "name": "Hor Kew Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.44, "architecture_energy": 14.59, "architecture_maturity": 73.539, "architecture_confidence": 66.455, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.44, "rotation_up": 38.47, "upward_expansion": 28.11, "deceleration": 37.35, "rotation_down": 23.66, "downward_expansion": 50.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.157333, 1.138727, 1.143694, 1.154839 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.17, "trend_reference": 1.189679, "distance_from_trend": -0.016542, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.691546, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.691861, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.12799, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.165627, "excess_performance": -0.320462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016542, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037204, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.691861, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.257822, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.19128, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142886, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.165627, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.443388, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22500, "relative_activity": 0.879765, "balance": 0.443388, "dry_up": 0.967742, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053912, "annualized_volatility": 0.400312, "from_high_reference": -0.199453, "from_low_reference": 0.135922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.189679, "fair_value_reference": 0.691546, "structural_low": 1.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.004293, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.159089, "worst_return": -0.208332, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.005145, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025997, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.130435, "worst_return": -0.12, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.039997, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008665, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.911113, "worst_return": -0.040001, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054056, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.118421, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034483, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.011493, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.082355, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.922627, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055118, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.146154, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051282, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.048505, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.222326, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5415.0, "trend": 0.21933, "fair_value": 0.230865, "relative_strength": -3.290982, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", 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"close": 1.12, "volume": 31200, "typical_volume": 26765.0, "trend": 1.197258, "fair_value": 0.679332, "relative_strength": -21.875685, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.32669, "energy": 31.548312, "activity_lines": [ 1.121333, 1.123091, 1.137651, 1.157488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.18, "volume": 37800, "typical_volume": 26990.0, "trend": 1.1938, "fair_value": 0.685471, "relative_strength": -17.855939, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.464956, "energy": 15.645354, "activity_lines": [ 1.142667, 1.132, 1.141348, 1.156374 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.17, "volume": 22500, "typical_volume": 25575.0, "trend": 1.189679, "fair_value": 0.691546, "relative_strength": -19.12799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.440132, "energy": 14.590356, "activity_lines": [ 1.157333, 1.138727, 1.143694, 1.154839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }