{ "ticker": { "uuid": "673327ac-8f78-44e0-8694-f333526212f6", "symbol": "DISB34", "name": "The Walt Disney Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 76.4, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.858, "architecture_energy": 21.582, "architecture_maturity": 64.178, "architecture_confidence": 84.795, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.17, "rotation_up": 24.15, "upward_expansion": 4.57, "deceleration": 54.17, "rotation_down": 42.23, "downward_expansion": 75.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.400666, 33.429087, 33.760334, 34.082689 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.459999, "trend_reference": 34.933901, "distance_from_trend": 0.01506, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.460242, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027434, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.126862, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.061408, "excess_performance": -0.00436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01506, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053628, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027434, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003301, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091269, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.061408, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.640648, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 658995, "relative_activity": 3.444865, "balance": 1.640648, "dry_up": 2.316295, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046999, "annualized_volatility": 0.267668, "from_high_reference": -0.180585, "from_low_reference": 0.1311 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.933901, "fair_value_reference": 36.460242, "structural_low": 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-69.99561, "energy": 39.478283, "activity_lines": [ 33.55085, 33.880508, 34.086706, 34.70318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.810001, "volume": 143513, "typical_volume": 137700.85, "trend": 35.764235, "fair_value": 36.350845, "relative_strength": -19.163602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.42058, "energy": 54.869134, "activity_lines": [ 33.215381, 33.635835, 33.947197, 34.494111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.0, "volume": 417092, "typical_volume": 145001.6, "trend": 35.417568, "fair_value": 36.385261, "relative_strength": -20.307351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.401799, "energy": 62.29985, "activity_lines": [ 32.671588, 33.286252, 33.745973, 34.251257 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.47, "volume": 552808, "typical_volume": 160895.7, "trend": 35.125235, "fair_value": 36.416826, "relative_strength": -19.975714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.837975, "energy": 61.720741, "activity_lines": [ 32.502667, 33.065761, 33.604749, 34.061092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.459999, "volume": 658995, "typical_volume": 191297.75, "trend": 34.933901, "fair_value": 36.460242, "relative_strength": -9.126862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.858371, "energy": 21.582099, "activity_lines": [ 33.400666, 33.429087, 33.760334, 34.082689 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }