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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 75.144, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.547, "architecture_energy": 89.537, "architecture_maturity": 8.569, "architecture_confidence": 75.013, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.23, "rotation_up": 84.68, "upward_expansion": 99.93, "deceleration": 39.02, "rotation_down": 8.12, "downward_expansion": 21.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 6245.529107, 6103.380508, 5894.917352, 5835.742782 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 6275.0, "trend_reference": 5798.815772, "distance_from_trend": 0.082117, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6232.390278, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.006837, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.411484, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.063028, "excess_performance": 0.117695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082117, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022802, "read": 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"down", "direction": -35.44947, "energy": 17.798156, "activity_lines": [ 5618.341276, 5588.587402, 5620.177795, 5690.632897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 6036.478906, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 701.25, "trend": 5817.851413, "fair_value": 6216.945891, "relative_strength": -5.776299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.57486, "energy": 23.569181, "activity_lines": [ 5767.898926, 5667.594673, 5657.296889, 5703.974756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6036.478906, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 604.3, "trend": 5812.318418, "fair_value": 6218.8639, "relative_strength": -4.476701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.180015, "energy": 52.065522, "activity_lines": [ 5882.157982, 5742.66014, 5691.591955, 5718.079756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6345.78609, "volume": 116, "typical_volume": 590.15, "trend": 5812.996753, "fair_value": 6222.764647, "relative_strength": 0.662071, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 63.26169, "energy": 80.889076, "activity_lines": [ 6061.754172, 5870.021473, 5753.176918, 5752.497025 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6178.660434, "volume": 73, "typical_volume": 591.95, "trend": 5808.104233, "fair_value": 6225.594076, "relative_strength": -1.172225, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.38599, "energy": 78.76683, "activity_lines": [ 6143.589404, 5949.272939, 5796.075634, 5776.08823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6260.976055, "volume": 23, "typical_volume": 566.75, "trend": 5803.22627, "fair_value": 6228.947228, "relative_strength": -0.223088, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.393603, "energy": 86.802969, "activity_lines": [ 6211.0878, 6031.515238, 5846.159114, 5805.305767 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6275.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 564.55, "trend": 5798.815772, "fair_value": 6232.390278, "relative_strength": 0.411484, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.547366, "energy": 89.536942, "activity_lines": [ 6245.529107, 6103.380508, 5894.917352, 5835.742782 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }