{ "ticker": { "uuid": "674d5829-05cf-45e0-b57e-f90230d80674", "symbol": "GMMPFAUDLR", "name": "GMM Pfaudler Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.771, "architecture_energy": 36.597, "architecture_maturity": 40.543, "architecture_confidence": 77.478, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.31, "rotation_up": 63.65, "upward_expansion": 34.11, "deceleration": 47.11, "rotation_down": 19.45, "downward_expansion": 25.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 877.413656, 836.98735, 832.365552, 846.728124 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 987.299988, "trend_reference": 876.935205, "distance_from_trend": 0.125853, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1233.088599, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.199328, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.105754, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.006341, "excess_performance": 0.037369, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125853, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104037, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.199328, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106395, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011058, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.159178, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.006341, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.741805, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7272164, "relative_activity": 9.921458, "balance": 2.741805, "dry_up": 2.976116, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063083, "annualized_volatility": 0.3642, "from_high_reference": -0.25409, "from_low_reference": 0.332209 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 876.935205, "fair_value_reference": 1233.088599, "structural_low": 741.099976, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.024037, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031143, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.218839, "worst_return": -0.123325, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.108609, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.089118, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.172447, "worst_return": -0.181391, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.138912, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.130502, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.00244, "worst_return": -0.179426, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 782.621855, 785.39131, 818.045763, 846.785267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 807.077332, "volume": 368462, "typical_volume": 395569.6, "trend": 886.035207, "fair_value": 1240.638869, "relative_strength": -15.941507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.4718, "energy": 38.092492, "activity_lines": [ 789.062374, 787.456664, 815.057991, 841.098258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 864.400024, "volume": 458585, "typical_volume": 388810.65, "trend": 878.401874, "fair_value": 1236.90829, "relative_strength": -11.33518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.64933, "energy": 16.790789, "activity_lines": [ 814.78197, 801.570193, 817.845344, 839.70244 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 987.299988, "volume": 7272164, "typical_volume": 732973.35, "trend": 876.935205, "fair_value": 1233.088599, "relative_strength": 1.105754, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.770734, "energy": 36.597287, "activity_lines": [ 877.413656, 836.98735, 832.365552, 846.728124 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }