{ "ticker": { "uuid": "674e0bef-805e-4615-a2b2-44004de98e51", "symbol": "2280", "name": "Almarai Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.772, "architecture_energy": 42.428, "architecture_maturity": 40.734, "architecture_confidence": 79.711, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.84, "rotation_up": 50.49, "upward_expansion": 78.95, "deceleration": 64.23, "rotation_down": 24.08, "downward_expansion": 5.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.684001, 46.448, 45.524238, 44.581274 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.240002, "trend_reference": 43.491784, "distance_from_trend": 0.086182, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 50.612789, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.066639, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.961609, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.162156, "excess_performance": 0.193986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086182, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020842, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.066639, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.079616, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16704, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.162156, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.625054, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2916687, "relative_activity": 0.660511, "balance": 1.625054, "dry_up": 0.580751, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043249, "annualized_volatility": 0.202964, "from_high_reference": -0.102527, "from_low_reference": 0.270519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.491784, "fair_value_reference": 50.612789, "structural_low": 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62.290173, "energy": 48.682114, "activity_lines": [ 46.452, 46.078181, 44.777426, 43.911046 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.18, "volume": 1485285, "typical_volume": 4423261.1, "trend": 43.155666, "fair_value": 50.836115, "relative_strength": 6.04213, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.358702, "energy": 47.751211, "activity_lines": [ 46.452, 46.160363, 45.008306, 44.115463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.400002, "volume": 2253929, "typical_volume": 4322742.05, "trend": 43.264279, "fair_value": 50.733198, "relative_strength": 8.6249, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.934998, "energy": 42.172694, "activity_lines": [ 46.477334, 46.230545, 45.237044, 44.324775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.240002, "volume": 2916687, "typical_volume": 4415803.55, "trend": 43.491784, "fair_value": 50.612789, "relative_strength": 7.961609, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.771793, "energy": 42.428119, "activity_lines": [ 46.684001, 46.448, 45.524238, 44.581274 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }