{ "ticker": { "uuid": "675194a9-16c0-4c00-bf0f-7e6cf7c87f10", "symbol": "ICCM", "name": "Icecure Medical", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.673, "architecture_energy": 72.66, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.781, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.41, "rotation_up": 26.23, "upward_expansion": 16.3, "deceleration": 41.97, "rotation_down": 59.55, "downward_expansion": 91.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.143333, 3.725182, 4.930986, 7.124645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.08, "trend_reference": 10.3823, "distance_from_trend": -0.703341, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.387667, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.878681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -84.131609, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.825989, "excess_performance": -1.013442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.703341, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.345745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.878681, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136631, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.841316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.825989, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.591854, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 464930, "relative_activity": 0.035114, "balance": 5.591854, "dry_up": 0.031373, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.612837, "annualized_volatility": 1.880098, "from_high_reference": -0.926667, "from_low_reference": 0.45283 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.3823, "fair_value_reference": 25.387667, "structural_low": 2.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.047796, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.024432, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 0.527197, "worst_return": -0.653322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.136139, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.13421, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.851351, "worst_return": -0.680274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.201795, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.123091, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.522567, "worst_return": -0.733294, "sufficient": true }, { 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56.977801, "activity_lines": [ 4.416667, 4.662982, 6.334976, 8.772972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.08, "volume": 435137, "typical_volume": 13448481.4, "trend": 11.5236, "fair_value": 25.753244, "relative_strength": -84.244021, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.061601, "energy": 62.374963, "activity_lines": [ 3.842, 4.290455, 5.794519, 8.19197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.89, "volume": 310530, "typical_volume": 13351844.4, "trend": 10.989933, "fair_value": 25.550616, "relative_strength": -84.777205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.377968, "energy": 71.276859, "activity_lines": [ 3.358667, 3.952727, 5.3113, 7.634963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.08, "volume": 464930, "typical_volume": 13240424.6, "trend": 10.3823, "fair_value": 25.387667, "relative_strength": -84.131609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.67251, "energy": 72.659585, "activity_lines": [ 3.143333, 3.725182, 4.930986, 7.124645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }