{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "67603831-b994-4dc9-9f6c-32374dfab930",
    "symbol": "ZVU",
    "name": "BMO MSCI USA Value Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.394,
    "architecture_energy": 59.075,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.723,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.04,
        "rotation_up": 46.18,
        "upward_expansion": 70.17,
        "deceleration": 88.32,
        "rotation_down": 27.96,
        "downward_expansion": 22.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        55.132,
        55.170506,
        53.445074,
        50.670529
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.830002,
    "trend_reference": 47.194455,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.182978,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.814116,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.651086,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.395752,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.34629,
    "excess_performance": 0.225869,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.182978,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130618,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.651086,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062321,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163958,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02674,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.34629,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.37415,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18800,
      "relative_activity": 2.131519,
      "balance": 2.37415,
      "dry_up": 1.80839,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030053,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.199008,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015164,
      "from_low_reference": 0.704249
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.194455,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.814116,
      "structural_low": 38.281096,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.0131,
        "positive_rate": 0.641026,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.641026,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003662,
        "regime_survival": 0.74359,
        "best_return": 0.139059,
        "worst_return": -0.072841,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011285,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.245583,
        "worst_return": -0.10495,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.076631,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026011,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.200625,
        "worst_return": -0.155141,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003002,
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        "worst_return": -0.058471,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "close": 44.360001,
        "volume": 2600,
        "typical_volume": 5108.55,
        "trend": 39.56757,
        "fair_value": 31.035216,
        "relative_strength": 7.343623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.090067,
        "energy": 92.108142,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.965067,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 5493.25,
        "trend": 39.847773,
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        "relative_strength": 10.310459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.562794,
        "energy": 96.467746,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.807293
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 2300,
        "typical_volume": 5584.5,
        "trend": 40.298551,
        "fair_value": 31.342107,
        "relative_strength": 19.069715,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 98.628848,
        "energy": 99.28241,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 49.36681,
        "volume": 6900,
        "typical_volume": 5920.0,
        "trend": 40.715216,
        "fair_value": 31.50407,
        "relative_strength": 18.436789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 91.231546,
        "energy": 96.784887,
        "activity_lines": [
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          43.093946,
          42.034112
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 5200,
        "typical_volume": 5770.0,
        "trend": 41.19207,
        "fair_value": 31.683255,
        "relative_strength": 21.317745,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.553102,
        "energy": 97.581178,
        "activity_lines": [
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          44.045443,
          42.747831
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 54.716953,
        "volume": 5900,
        "typical_volume": 5515.0,
        "trend": 41.742191,
        "fair_value": 31.881848,
        "relative_strength": 26.312003,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.657873,
        "energy": 98.330643,
        "activity_lines": [
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          43.620405
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 54.109211,
        "volume": 8900,
        "typical_volume": 5895.0,
        "trend": 42.273445,
        "fair_value": 32.071877,
        "relative_strength": 25.427091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.353427,
        "energy": 94.204445,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.885086,
          50.047252,
          46.250267,
          44.418277
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 55.494072,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 5480.0,
        "trend": 42.844598,
        "fair_value": 32.268512,
        "relative_strength": 25.894492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.414394,
        "energy": 94.678919,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.271221
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 55.922482,
        "volume": 2300,
        "typical_volume": 5315.0,
        "trend": 43.458214,
        "fair_value": 32.472246,
        "relative_strength": 25.932651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.474222,
        "energy": 93.100976,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.422086,
          46.114955
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 56.051998,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 5265.0,
        "trend": 44.03544,
        "fair_value": 32.672504,
        "relative_strength": 25.42371,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.462528,
        "energy": 89.889354,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.557834,
          53.751349,
          49.426938,
          46.927457
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 54.955002,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 4580.0,
        "trend": 44.558702,
        "fair_value": 32.866301,
        "relative_strength": 21.400383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.450382,
        "energy": 68.518634,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.45652,
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          50.257874,
          47.631945
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 55.439999,
        "volume": 50600,
        "typical_volume": 6865.0,
        "trend": 45.095695,
        "fair_value": 33.061556,
        "relative_strength": 21.635276,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.890569,
        "energy": 67.507704,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.501002,
          54.820165,
          51.069456,
          48.333964
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.810001,
        "volume": 16600,
        "typical_volume": 7585.0,
        "trend": 45.583574,
        "fair_value": 33.243502,
        "relative_strength": 17.615528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.494193,
        "energy": 64.509721,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.913432,
          54.828718,
          51.659748,
          48.896178
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 55.349998,
        "volume": 17000,
        "typical_volume": 8205.0,
        "trend": 46.112348,
        "fair_value": 33.433922,
        "relative_strength": 19.96107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.300585,
        "energy": 59.816624,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.951466,
          55.044274,
          52.335664,
          49.526269
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.68,
        "volume": 11400,
        "typical_volume": 8490.0,
        "trend": 46.661635,
        "fair_value": 33.620047,
        "relative_strength": 18.349461,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.810621,
        "energy": 55.514324,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.804333,
          55.029227,
          52.871521,
          50.079021
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.830002,
        "volume": 18800,
        "typical_volume": 8820.0,
        "trend": 47.194455,
        "fair_value": 33.814116,
        "relative_strength": 16.395752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.39441,
        "energy": 59.075176,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.132,
          55.170506,
          53.445074,
          50.670529
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}