{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "67658460-286e-490a-84ec-bcad20bf9347",
    "symbol": "AUR",
    "name": "Aurora Innovation Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.753,
    "architecture_energy": 28.177,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.875,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.783,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.22,
        "rotation_up": 40.13,
        "upward_expansion": 69.01,
        "deceleration": 86.45,
        "rotation_down": 24.71,
        "downward_expansion": 7.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.496667,
        6.417273,
        6.402857,
        6.024237
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.06,
    "trend_reference": 5.53,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.276673,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.807372,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.468578,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 17.673392,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.649533,
    "excess_performance": 0.462079,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276673,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149051,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.468578,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117327,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176734,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.649533,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.307858,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 137227907,
      "relative_activity": 1.073654,
      "balance": 1.307858,
      "dry_up": 0.979879,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.145565,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.634715,
      "from_high_reference": -0.175715,
      "from_low_reference": 0.961111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.53,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.807372,
      "structural_low": 3.82,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.007375,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026501,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.004587,
        "worst_return": -0.268085,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.044444,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106453,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.859574,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.06657,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.091519,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.2,
        "worst_return": -0.06686,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.600934,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.326147,
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        "best_return": 1.53617,
        "worst_return": -0.334302,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.162698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.125,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 123974651.3,
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        "fair_value": 4.7625,
        "relative_strength": 4.346282,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 15.132093,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.45,
        "volume": 147377736,
        "typical_volume": 125942816.15,
        "trend": 5.454333,
        "fair_value": 4.784231,
        "relative_strength": 12.72122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.901492,
        "energy": 12.779675,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.241333,
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          6.295286,
          5.920645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.06,
        "volume": 137227907,
        "typical_volume": 127813859.1,
        "trend": 5.53,
        "fair_value": 4.807372,
        "relative_strength": 17.673392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.752688,
        "energy": 28.177013,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}