{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6777d302-ed4d-4b65-80b7-146362fea43f", "symbol": "UB12", "name": "UBS Core MSCI Europe UCITS ETF EUR dis", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.27, "architecture_energy": 65.3, "architecture_maturity": 31.23, "architecture_confidence": 86.791, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 61.44, "upward_expansion": 83.98, "deceleration": 55.43, "rotation_down": 23.69, "downward_expansion": 10.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 9244.6, 9200.781818, 9072.433333, 8958.541236 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9412.5, "trend_reference": 8849.959147, "distance_from_trend": 0.063564, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7603.86356, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.237858, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.363345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.067866, "excess_performance": 0.016631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063564, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029267, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.237858, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062904, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013633, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020406, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.067866, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.365999, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5094, "relative_activity": 0.158421, "balance": 5.365999, "dry_up": 0.394848, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016849, "annualized_volatility": 0.154996, "from_high_reference": -0.004599, "from_low_reference": 0.218126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8849.959147, "fair_value_reference": 7603.86356, "structural_low": 7965.0, 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"typical_volume": 36731.05, "trend": 8826.75319, "fair_value": 7585.18175, "relative_strength": -0.301205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.734486, "energy": 50.825376, "activity_lines": [ 9163.666667, 9145.881818, 9020.514286, 8920.751119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9412.5, "volume": 5094, "typical_volume": 32154.8, "trend": 8849.959147, "fair_value": 7603.86356, "relative_strength": 1.363345, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.270278, "energy": 65.300489, "activity_lines": [ 9244.6, 9200.781818, 9072.433333, 8958.541236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }