{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67a42227-f11d-4595-84ef-724734136780", "symbol": "300452", "name": "Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.61, "architecture_energy": 31.007, "architecture_maturity": 76.253, "architecture_confidence": 81.652, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.1, "rotation_up": 26.87, "upward_expansion": 16.52, "deceleration": 46.86, "rotation_down": 30.91, "downward_expansion": 61.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.21, 12.130398, 12.431907, 12.990787 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.59, "trend_reference": 13.715018, "distance_from_trend": -0.082028, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.833673, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018987, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.232541, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.176586, "excess_performance": -0.183986, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082028, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04039, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018987, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061139, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112325, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081463, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.176586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.565998, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19429295, "relative_activity": 1.005929, "balance": 0.565998, "dry_up": 1.285035, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061898, "annualized_volatility": 0.264334, "from_high_reference": -0.265461, "from_low_reference": 0.1073 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.715018, "fair_value_reference": 12.833673, "structural_low": 11.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011552, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.209459, "worst_return": -0.10955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.036972, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.02026, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.706799, "worst_return": -0.274916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.06206, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.008102, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.608812, "worst_return": -0.291503, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 19689871.4, "trend": 13.781352, "fair_value": 12.865527, "relative_strength": -16.592197, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.058871, "energy": 50.85932, "activity_lines": [ 12.004, 12.030222, 12.574484, 13.170962 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.14, "volume": 14817880, "typical_volume": 19380580.2, "trend": 13.741352, "fair_value": 12.847452, "relative_strength": -10.523683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.074075, "energy": 40.175554, "activity_lines": [ 12.056667, 12.035648, 12.474291, 13.065068 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.59, "volume": 19429295, "typical_volume": 19314776.55, "trend": 13.715018, "fair_value": 12.833673, "relative_strength": -11.232541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.609644, "energy": 31.006535, "activity_lines": [ 12.21, 12.130398, 12.431907, 12.990787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }