{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67a63315-6849-45e0-8ee4-a2aa1d04fe10", "symbol": "211560", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER Dividend Growth ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.9, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.398, "architecture_energy": 17.885, "architecture_maturity": 15.481, "architecture_confidence": 63.459, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.07, "rotation_up": 22.14, "upward_expansion": 12.98, "deceleration": 57.34, "rotation_down": 40.72, "downward_expansion": 36.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 35289.136719, 35567.935156, 36565.044885, 36566.991444 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 35520.0, "trend_reference": 35994.992578, "distance_from_trend": -0.013196, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22517.501358, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.57744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.83175, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.109441, "excess_performance": -0.120387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013196, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096865, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.57744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.362891, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068317, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147566, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.109441, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.107937, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28349, "relative_activity": 0.313302, "balance": 0.107937, "dry_up": 0.652956, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079274, "annualized_volatility": 0.337253, "from_high_reference": -0.145229, "from_low_reference": 0.567233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35994.992578, "fair_value_reference": 22517.501358, "structural_low": 31780.698463, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.006362, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.006979, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.059324, "worst_return": -0.103959, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.004158, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.025161, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.054509, "worst_return": -0.169062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020645, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.072967, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.404994, 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90484.65, "trend": 35994.992578, "fair_value": 22517.501358, "relative_strength": -6.83175, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.398153, "energy": 17.885068, "activity_lines": [ 35289.136719, 35567.935156, 36565.044885, 36566.991444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }