{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67cee1ee-1519-4d22-9d41-51ee2fbd453f", "symbol": "4979", "name": "LuxNet Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 6.894, "architecture_energy": 6.733, "architecture_maturity": 33.936, "architecture_confidence": 49.533, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.67, "rotation_up": 29.87, "upward_expansion": 31.39, "deceleration": 53.16, "rotation_down": 33.17, "downward_expansion": 24.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 458.733333, 449.19593, 491.835997, 487.489945 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 522.0, "trend_reference": 459.647921, "distance_from_trend": 0.135652, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 221.640857, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.355161, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.249448, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.647399, "excess_performance": 0.206027, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135652, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179782, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.355161, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.437872, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.112494, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243123, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.647399, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.832801, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76073075, "relative_activity": 2.275579, "balance": 0.832801, "dry_up": 1.811947, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.216943, "annualized_volatility": 1.081502, "from_high_reference": -0.311422, "from_low_reference": 1.964387 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 459.647921, "fair_value_reference": 221.640857, "structural_low": 318.355451, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.167247, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.040995, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.167247, "worst_return": 0.167247, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.379791, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.174166, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.379791, "worst_return": 0.379791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.285999, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.121701, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.285999, "worst_return": 0.285999, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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-20.02639, "energy": 37.982628, "activity_lines": [ 415.743833, 461.363663, 504.768685, 485.121762 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 370.0, "volume": 90492717, "typical_volume": 38484978.4, "trend": 446.724101, "fair_value": 217.256403, "relative_strength": -15.200026, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.130667, "energy": 46.679355, "activity_lines": [ 396.70979, 437.027039, 491.928751, 480.319255 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 488.0, "volume": 17931419, "typical_volume": 33919879.7, "trend": 452.130204, "fair_value": 219.157253, "relative_strength": 8.470013, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.020958, "energy": 26.879352, "activity_lines": [ 422.785152, 438.813366, 490.467085, 482.982216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 522.0, "volume": 76073075, "typical_volume": 33430210.4, "trend": 459.647921, "fair_value": 221.640857, "relative_strength": 11.249448, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.893768, "energy": 6.733099, "activity_lines": [ 458.733333, 449.19593, 491.835997, 487.489945 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }