{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67d4116f-43c4-496c-a7a7-e84030be4499", "symbol": "RTMD-M", "name": "RETAILMINDS TEC", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.857, "architecture_energy": 61.326, "architecture_maturity": 13.026, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.76, "rotation_up": 18.14, "upward_expansion": 12.79, "deceleration": 39.66, "rotation_down": 60.28, "downward_expansion": 86.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.170533, 0.172782, 0.177133, 0.179813 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.17, "trend_reference": 0.186367, "distance_from_trend": -0.08782, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.165462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.559126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.105263, "excess_performance": -0.134163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.08782, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127361, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.027429, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295591, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10383, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.105263, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.126594, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.126594, "dry_up": 1.092904, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048869, "annualized_volatility": 0.586683, "from_high_reference": -0.535519, "from_low_reference": 0.096774 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.186367, "fair_value_reference": 0.165462, "structural_low": 0.155, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.033464, "positive_rate": 0.259259, "directional_follow_through": 0.703704, "median_excess_return": -0.058996, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 1.4521, "worst_return": -0.399996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.169491, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.140765, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 1.533302, "worst_return": -0.333329, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.259741, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.25971, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.999979, "worst_return": -0.473678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 0.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38274.45, "trend": 0.1897, "fair_value": 0.164702, "relative_strength": -31.683446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.397185, "energy": 51.769966, "activity_lines": [ 0.173, 0.174564, 0.179238, 0.182247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.17, "volume": 153250, "typical_volume": 43916.95, "trend": 0.188033, "fair_value": 0.165074, "relative_strength": -29.629113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.898879, "energy": 51.346899, "activity_lines": [ 0.171533, 0.173691, 0.178186, 0.180976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.17, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 38836.9, "trend": 0.186367, "fair_value": 0.165462, "relative_strength": -29.559126, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.857039, "energy": 61.325891, "activity_lines": [ 0.170533, 0.172782, 0.177133, 0.179813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }