{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67d807fd-cf9f-4f04-a195-e74d6e458de1", "symbol": "LC30", "name": "AMUNDI LIFECYCLE 2030 UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 74.356, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.139, "architecture_energy": 45.289, "architecture_maturity": 19.13, "architecture_confidence": 59.806, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.28, "rotation_up": 49.81, "upward_expansion": 77.02, "deceleration": 67.25, "rotation_down": 23.91, "downward_expansion": 6.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.614533, 10.6024, 10.580895, 10.527931 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.632, "trend_reference": 10.469867, "distance_from_trend": 0.015486, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.228687, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03943, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.451553, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.018001, "excess_performance": 0.021648, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015486, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009832, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.03943, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000339, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014516, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030303, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018001, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.834142, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 874, "relative_activity": 2.670333, "balance": 0.834142, "dry_up": 1.19615, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00738, "annualized_volatility": 0.050342, "from_high_reference": -0.007097, "from_low_reference": 0.059914 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.469867, "fair_value_reference": 10.228687, "structural_low": 10.1, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-21", "end": "2026-08-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 10.13, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 10.132, "volume": 688, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 10.089, 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null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 10.598, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 10.533, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 10.628, "volume": 13, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 10.659, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 10.658, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.596, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.557, "volume": 21, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.515, "volume": 138, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.545, "volume": 101, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.639, "volume": 395, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.634, "volume": 196, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 10.632, "volume": 874, "typical_volume": 327.3, "trend": 10.469867, "fair_value": 10.228687, "relative_strength": -1.451553, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.138617, "energy": 45.2894, "activity_lines": [ 10.614533, 10.6024, 10.580895, 10.527931 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }