{ "ticker": { "uuid": "67de97f1-3620-464b-baa4-a30229f77815", "symbol": "SVV", "name": "Savers Value Village, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.823, "architecture_energy": 57.06, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.773, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.92, "rotation_up": 61.43, "upward_expansion": 76.91, "deceleration": 59.13, "rotation_down": 14.73, "downward_expansion": 8.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.608, 10.282364, 9.63019, 9.350796 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.22, "trend_reference": 9.326, "distance_from_trend": 0.310315, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.010897, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017409, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.177522, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.059844, "excess_performance": -0.065781, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.310315, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038646, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017409, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.386878, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091775, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.38818, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.059844, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.254097, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8338457, "relative_activity": 1.623271, "balance": 3.254097, "dry_up": 0.989276, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09137, "annualized_volatility": 0.574144, "from_high_reference": -0.12023, "from_low_reference": 0.769732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.326, "fair_value_reference": 12.010897, "structural_low": 6.905, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.062486, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.086183, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.133069, "worst_return": -0.328546, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.196911, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090449, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.203616, "worst_return": -0.234297, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.009653, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.094973, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.084746, "worst_return": -0.131434, "sufficient": 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9.829455, 9.308714, 9.15914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.22, "volume": 8338457, "typical_volume": 5136823.65, "trend": 9.326, "fair_value": 12.010897, "relative_strength": 9.177522, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.822507, "energy": 57.059627, "activity_lines": [ 10.608, 10.282364, 9.63019, 9.350796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }