{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "67e759a4-c449-4c09-817b-ea9983b4e5fb",
    "symbol": "603876",
    "name": "Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -24.301,
    "architecture_energy": 50.992,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.386,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.734,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.49,
        "rotation_up": 15.03,
        "upward_expansion": 25.81,
        "deceleration": 50.1,
        "rotation_down": 64.84,
        "downward_expansion": 53.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.971333,
        22.079191,
        24.001811,
        23.757076
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 21.389999,
    "trend_reference": 22.630666,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.054822,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.850507,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.664526,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 19.556705,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.251609,
    "excess_performance": 0.294813,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054822,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163567,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.664526,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.823561,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195567,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.801676,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251609,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.280081,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 104902756,
      "relative_activity": 0.715101,
      "balance": 0.280081,
      "dry_up": 0.891045,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.139754,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.51511,
      "from_high_reference": -0.358392,
      "from_low_reference": 1.353854
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.630666,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.850507,
      "structural_low": 15.72,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.080589,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066571,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.17885,
        "worst_return": -0.128847,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.176183,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085114,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.065344,
        "worst_return": -0.220104,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.098539,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008262,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.057283,
        "worst_return": -0.243707,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.622142,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.52666,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.911396,
        "worst_return": 0.332887,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.141667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.082222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.101022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166493,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "return": 0.051916,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.064147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.047453,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "fair_value": 12.771242,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 154301860.9,
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        "fair_value": 12.776606,
        "relative_strength": 17.470049,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": -18.114217,
        "energy": 28.193805,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.4,
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        "typical_volume": 153655249.7,
        "trend": 22.173,
        "fair_value": 12.79241,
        "relative_strength": 20.779782,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.875163,
        "energy": 45.419114,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.68,
        "volume": 129393745,
        "typical_volume": 150879063.4,
        "trend": 22.418,
        "fair_value": 12.821862,
        "relative_strength": 26.091567,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.156036,
        "energy": 52.701866,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.389999,
        "volume": 104902756,
        "typical_volume": 146696498.75,
        "trend": 22.630666,
        "fair_value": 12.850507,
        "relative_strength": 19.556705,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.30141,
        "energy": 50.991656,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}