{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "67eecbca-a7f9-4b23-b9ce-55ac61f603f8",
    "symbol": "FTC",
    "name": "Finanza.tech S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.845,
    "architecture_energy": 68.872,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.674,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.41,
        "rotation_up": 27.35,
        "upward_expansion": 13.99,
        "deceleration": 45.96,
        "rotation_down": 59.23,
        "downward_expansion": 89.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.203067,
        0.205636,
        0.224,
        0.237073
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.214,
    "trend_reference": 0.2565,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.165692,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.559071,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.617222,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -34.688699,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.286667,
    "excess_performance": -0.457558,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.165692,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089026,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.617222,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062922,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.346887,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057168,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.286667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.439614,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 45000,
      "relative_activity": 1.5,
      "balance": 0.439614,
      "dry_up": 0.825,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.401173,
      "from_high_reference": -0.47549,
      "from_low_reference": 0.114583
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.2565,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.559071,
      "structural_low": 0.192,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.024537,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.060817,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.197297,
        "worst_return": -0.257028,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.188192,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.27981,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.096552,
        "worst_return": -0.297872,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.078159,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.207788,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.153646,
        "worst_return": -0.488032,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.207862,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.430508,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.226562,
        "worst_return": -0.642287,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
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        "return": -0.099323,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.154217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045213,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
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        "return": -0.028133,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "relative_strength": -17.975213,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.390146,
        "energy": 11.466327,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.280271,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.278,
        "volume": 35000,
        "typical_volume": 122250.0,
        "trend": 0.2859,
        "fair_value": 0.604686,
        "relative_strength": -25.811086,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 23.944963,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 70000,
        "typical_volume": 111200.0,
        "trend": 0.2843,
        "fair_value": 0.601301,
        "relative_strength": -28.971942,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 24.579815,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.272,
        "volume": 29000,
        "typical_volume": 112450.0,
        "trend": 0.283333,
        "fair_value": 0.598558,
        "relative_strength": -26.80685,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 19.786207,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 108750.0,
        "trend": 0.283433,
        "fair_value": 0.595955,
        "relative_strength": -26.433324,
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        "energy": 20.422768,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 118000,
        "typical_volume": 53900.0,
        "trend": 0.281567,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 4000,
        "typical_volume": 46350.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.589955,
        "relative_strength": -35.456909,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 78.385429,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 21000,
        "typical_volume": 42250.0,
        "trend": 0.275633,
        "fair_value": 0.586788,
        "relative_strength": -39.55411,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.907859,
        "energy": 85.299527,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 17000,
        "typical_volume": 40400.0,
        "trend": 0.272567,
        "fair_value": 0.583801,
        "relative_strength": -38.830091,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.589595,
        "energy": 86.526916,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.26572
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.21,
        "volume": 10000,
        "typical_volume": 35200.0,
        "trend": 0.2708,
        "fair_value": 0.580019,
        "relative_strength": -39.709962,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.043484,
        "energy": 90.953424,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.220267,
          0.236727,
          0.251524,
          0.261684
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.204,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 33800.0,
        "trend": 0.268933,
        "fair_value": 0.576404,
        "relative_strength": -41.965991,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.737101,
        "energy": 91.207781,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.2136,
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          0.257374
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.204,
        "volume": 17000,
        "typical_volume": 34000.0,
        "trend": 0.268133,
        "fair_value": 0.572763,
        "relative_strength": -40.563082,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.717973,
        "energy": 89.046689,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.208933,
          0.221236,
          0.24119,
          0.253185
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.202,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 31450.0,
        "trend": 0.265567,
        "fair_value": 0.569173,
        "relative_strength": -39.172006,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.859279,
        "energy": 86.65721,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.205467,
          0.215418,
          0.236376,
          0.248918
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.2,
        "volume": 21000,
        "typical_volume": 29150.0,
        "trend": 0.263333,
        "fair_value": 0.565801,
        "relative_strength": -38.558218,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.408552,
        "energy": 87.527737,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.202533,
          0.210436,
          0.23171,
          0.244688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.192,
        "volume": 24000,
        "typical_volume": 28800.0,
        "trend": 0.2607,
        "fair_value": 0.562314,
        "relative_strength": -40.454391,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.581407,
        "energy": 91.876697,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.198533,
          0.205309,
          0.226619,
          0.240086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.214,
        "volume": 45000,
        "typical_volume": 30000.0,
        "trend": 0.2565,
        "fair_value": 0.559071,
        "relative_strength": -34.688699,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.845256,
        "energy": 68.872276,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.203067,
          0.205636,
          0.224,
          0.237073
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}