{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6804f24e-d8e2-45e6-98d0-4e3c54346aa4", "symbol": "VSAT", "name": "ViaSat Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.417, "architecture_energy": 35.729, "architecture_maturity": 32.037, "architecture_confidence": 84.862, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.98, "rotation_up": 50.65, "upward_expansion": 77.01, "deceleration": 59.73, "rotation_down": 21.28, "downward_expansion": 3.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.082667, 74.081818, 71.799952, 67.103419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 80.38, "trend_reference": 60.508333, "distance_from_trend": 0.328412, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.781218, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.001357, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.199074, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.927578, "excess_performance": 0.740124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.328412, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.252665, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.001357, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066921, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.461991, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268423, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.927578, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.330996, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15735953, "relative_activity": 1.397162, "balance": 1.330996, "dry_up": 1.005373, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165719, "annualized_volatility": 0.666978, "from_high_reference": -0.135977, "from_low_reference": 2.194119 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 60.508333, "fair_value_reference": 26.781218, "structural_low": 41.67, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.05012, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": 0.048937, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.901293, "worst_return": -0.364776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.255491, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.137757, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.981507, "worst_return": -0.436203, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.285169, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.220971, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.384247, "worst_return": -0.550993, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 71.48, "volume": 12389762, "typical_volume": 10893404.55, "trend": 56.649667, "fair_value": 25.884872, "relative_strength": 43.422283, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.787288, "energy": 33.072581, "activity_lines": [ 72.59, 71.632727, 68.530762, 63.536215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.7, "volume": 8215415, "typical_volume": 10992612.65, "trend": 57.879333, "fair_value": 26.152115, "relative_strength": 43.17227, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.178521, "energy": 35.216777, "activity_lines": [ 72.878, 71.647091, 69.316381, 64.507204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.93, "volume": 8952122, "typical_volume": 11116605.05, "trend": 59.189333, "fair_value": 26.461795, "relative_strength": 49.562635, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.736743, "energy": 33.541118, "activity_lines": [ 74.404667, 72.572364, 70.46719, 65.73628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.38, "volume": 15735953, "typical_volume": 11262801.1, "trend": 60.508333, "fair_value": 26.781218, "relative_strength": 46.199074, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.416954, "energy": 35.728703, "activity_lines": [ 76.082667, 74.081818, 71.799952, 67.103419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }