{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "6806dad5-9e3a-4fc7-a795-821473140920",
    "symbol": "EBNK",
    "name": "Evolve European Banks Enhanced Yield ETF Hedged CAD",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.346,
    "architecture_energy": 88.782,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.96,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.169,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.45,
        "rotation_up": 78.22,
        "upward_expansion": 96.18,
        "deceleration": 42.74,
        "rotation_down": 13.14,
        "downward_expansion": 20.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.245187,
        16.948784,
        16.413804,
        16.03369
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 17.65,
    "trend_reference": 15.695851,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.124501,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.051593,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.597055,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.379994,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.107251,
    "excess_performance": -0.01317,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124501,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04749,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.597055,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095511,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0538,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070193,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107251,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.685442,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53000,
      "relative_activity": 0.640367,
      "balance": 3.685442,
      "dry_up": 1.078656,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029064,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.237119,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002825,
      "from_low_reference": 0.388132
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.695851,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.051593,
      "structural_low": 13.683004,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.021951,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015363,
        "regime_survival": 0.78125,
        "best_return": 0.23614,
        "worst_return": -0.09528,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.083209,
        "positive_rate": 0.909091,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.909091,
        "median_excess_return": 0.04501,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.263399,
        "worst_return": -0.005375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.170847,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024224,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": 0.033994,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.218115,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.3368,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.159056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 15.117061,
        "volume": 90900,
        "typical_volume": 177510.0,
        "trend": 14.641116,
        "fair_value": 10.130017,
        "relative_strength": -2.932397,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.558889,
        "energy": 29.796587,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.260104,
          14.924558,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 15.127503,
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        "typical_volume": 172760.0,
        "trend": 14.695054,
        "fair_value": 10.186711,
        "relative_strength": -2.782351,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.407344,
        "energy": 30.56306,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.289381,
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          15.060501,
          14.976844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 15.382902,
        "volume": 101200,
        "typical_volume": 171570.0,
        "trend": 14.766783,
        "fair_value": 10.244725,
        "relative_strength": -1.639304,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.658224,
        "energy": 28.11673,
        "activity_lines": [
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          15.021221
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 15.127503,
        "volume": 88000,
        "typical_volume": 167310.0,
        "trend": 14.8334,
        "fair_value": 10.300198,
        "relative_strength": -2.50261,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.822628,
        "energy": 22.362566,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.23933,
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          15.044494
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 59300,
        "typical_volume": 163980.0,
        "trend": 14.910077,
        "fair_value": 10.358515,
        "relative_strength": -1.578634,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.658979,
        "energy": 26.850068,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.318684,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 15.851165,
        "volume": 85900,
        "typical_volume": 156200.0,
        "trend": 14.984247,
        "fair_value": 10.418265,
        "relative_strength": -0.476525,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.718772,
        "energy": 37.8207,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.515415,
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          15.179556,
          15.151434
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 15.652902,
        "volume": 12500,
        "typical_volume": 144565.0,
        "trend": 15.04931,
        "fair_value": 10.476244,
        "relative_strength": -0.66741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.8275,
        "energy": 43.758839,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.597118,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.098993,
        "volume": 22400,
        "typical_volume": 136110.0,
        "trend": 15.122681,
        "fair_value": 10.536947,
        "relative_strength": 0.618402,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.855869,
        "energy": 63.002618,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.792491,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 7200,
        "typical_volume": 125425.0,
        "trend": 15.219244,
        "fair_value": 10.601344,
        "relative_strength": 3.91526,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.708452,
        "energy": 76.626884,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.221827,
        "volume": 8100,
        "typical_volume": 112075.0,
        "trend": 15.283179,
        "fair_value": 10.6621,
        "relative_strength": 1.153462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.943609,
        "energy": 71.13486,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.211974,
          15.915545,
          15.532666,
          15.425781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.661432,
        "volume": 2100,
        "typical_volume": 98355.0,
        "trend": 15.358615,
        "fair_value": 10.726269,
        "relative_strength": 3.012709,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.799581,
        "energy": 80.021526,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.400517,
          16.09428,
          15.663422,
          15.514701
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.87962,
        "volume": 339000,
        "typical_volume": 109090.0,
        "trend": 15.433124,
        "fair_value": 10.790921,
        "relative_strength": 4.107126,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.235131,
        "energy": 85.294737,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.607771,
          16.284606,
          15.807305,
          15.61283
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.651516,
        "volume": 100900,
        "typical_volume": 105510.0,
        "trend": 15.486471,
        "fair_value": 10.853149,
        "relative_strength": 2.761688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.4466,
        "energy": 76.043835,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.657209,
          16.401602,
          15.924853,
          15.691436
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.028381,
        "volume": 84100,
        "typical_volume": 97900.0,
        "trend": 15.556164,
        "fair_value": 10.917379,
        "relative_strength": 4.695348,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.797387,
        "energy": 83.28408,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.795435,
          16.564054,
          16.072903,
          15.790914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 17.290001,
        "volume": 119100,
        "typical_volume": 90985.0,
        "trend": 15.620803,
        "fair_value": 10.983563,
        "relative_strength": 6.631383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.769179,
        "energy": 82.870228,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.995917,
          16.739511,
          16.233457,
          15.902774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.65,
        "volume": 53000,
        "typical_volume": 82765.0,
        "trend": 15.695851,
        "fair_value": 11.051593,
        "relative_strength": 5.379994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.34629,
        "energy": 88.782222,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.245187,
          16.948784,
          16.413804,
          16.03369
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}