{ "ticker": { "uuid": "682b6201-59c1-421a-8b97-bf58b6718c74", "symbol": "1256", "name": "Sunjuice Holdings Co., Limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.394, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.17, "architecture_energy": 19.342, "architecture_maturity": 37.933, "architecture_confidence": 71.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.32, "rotation_up": 27.55, "upward_expansion": 54.34, "deceleration": 89.54, "rotation_down": 25.18, "downward_expansion": 18.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 181.333333, 182.645372, 179.342287, 173.422825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 181.0, "trend_reference": 166.533031, "distance_from_trend": 0.086871, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 164.51022, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100236, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.334342, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.134502, "excess_performance": -0.30687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086871, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093182, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100236, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093761, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163343, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01616, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134502, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.676384, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 197044, "relative_activity": 0.392731, "balance": 0.676384, "dry_up": 0.896942, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09255, "annualized_volatility": 0.365953, "from_high_reference": -0.143282, "from_low_reference": 0.606806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 166.533031, "fair_value_reference": 164.51022, "structural_low": 138.269165, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.005935, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021033, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.079038, "worst_return": -0.11293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.014046, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.124049, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.137931, "worst_return": -0.234899, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.003858, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.266173, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.237931, "worst_return": -0.245646, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.765462, "energy": 47.981295, "activity_lines": [ 186.291629, 183.253861, 176.158355, 170.210961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 183.0, "volume": 439123, "typical_volume": 470023.7, "trend": 164.347793, "fair_value": 165.730481, "relative_strength": -10.759368, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.254046, "energy": 37.69276, "activity_lines": [ 185.707669, 183.390061, 177.559741, 171.516763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 178.5, "volume": 839796, "typical_volume": 500713.6, "trend": 165.608244, "fair_value": 165.158413, "relative_strength": -14.858502, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.606637, "energy": 26.138798, "activity_lines": [ 182.833333, 182.606794, 178.40243, 172.429809 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 181.0, "volume": 197044, "typical_volume": 501727.7, "trend": 166.533031, "fair_value": 164.51022, "relative_strength": -16.334342, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.169961, "energy": 19.341604, "activity_lines": [ 181.333333, 182.645372, 179.342287, 173.422825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }