{ "ticker": { "uuid": "683f44ad-95ae-4bf8-b91a-4326cf530721", "symbol": "688175", "name": "Zhuhai Comleader Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.167, "architecture_energy": 82.292, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.458, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.55, "rotation_up": 8.5, "upward_expansion": 20.03, "deceleration": 37.05, "rotation_down": 73.44, "downward_expansion": 91.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.232667, 20.932251, 23.578335, 25.926664 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.030001, "trend_reference": 28.694761, "distance_from_trend": -0.336813, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.578867, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.157176, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.602919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.421405, "excess_performance": -0.378201, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.336813, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044006, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.157176, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.358545, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.286029, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.293187, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.421405, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.234741, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20064478, "relative_activity": 1.513777, "balance": 1.234741, "dry_up": 1.829054, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.216432, "annualized_volatility": 0.82648, "from_high_reference": -0.517862, "from_low_reference": 0.336376 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.694761, "fair_value_reference": 22.578867, "structural_low": 14.24, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.044331, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.026593, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.374101, "worst_return": -0.325114, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.037317, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026068, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.319977, "worst_return": -0.31328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.056167, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.090512, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.536273, "worst_return": -0.412621, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.049415, 26.526756, 28.317886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.85, "volume": 26706608, "typical_volume": 11342602.9, "trend": 29.504094, "fair_value": 22.82742, "relative_strength": -39.020842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.601563, "energy": 82.542582, "activity_lines": [ 20.91, 23.249759, 25.321933, 27.409127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.629999, "volume": 27877867, "typical_volume": 12332447.3, "trend": 29.134094, "fair_value": 22.687712, "relative_strength": -36.059692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.228738, "energy": 86.365354, "activity_lines": [ 18.887333, 21.773838, 24.289825, 26.578541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.030001, "volume": 20064478, "typical_volume": 13254582.25, "trend": 28.694761, "fair_value": 22.578867, "relative_strength": -28.602919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.166657, "energy": 82.291905, "activity_lines": [ 18.232667, 20.932251, 23.578335, 25.926664 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }