{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6846d230-4ff7-41aa-9ae2-815856acd950", "symbol": "TATACONSUM", "name": "Tata Consumer Products Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.938, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.044, "architecture_energy": 53.804, "architecture_maturity": 6.639, "architecture_confidence": 72.871, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.01, "rotation_up": 8.45, "upward_expansion": 17.41, "deceleration": 44.79, "rotation_down": 71.25, "downward_expansion": 83.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 1086.466675, 1097.127275, 1117.007761, 1115.961403 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 1082.300049, "trend_reference": 1119.213924, "distance_from_trend": -0.032982, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1065.483256, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015783, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.04668, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.05852, "excess_performance": -0.014811, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016285, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015783, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030467, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112692, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.05852, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487359, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6910204, "relative_activity": 0.958228, "balance": 0.487359, "dry_up": 0.994699, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039617, "annualized_volatility": 0.186038, "from_high_reference": -0.149093, "from_low_reference": 0.083656 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1119.213924, "fair_value_reference": 1065.483256, "structural_low": 998.748964, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.02204, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.041913, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.141322, "worst_return": -0.080656, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.080757, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.049731, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.137251, "worst_return": 0.038898, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.181489, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.165903, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.262703, "worst_return": 0.045035, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1088.599976, "volume": 6259268, "typical_volume": 7059583.55, "trend": 1127.192106, "fair_value": 1060.488959, "relative_strength": -1.277627, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.458704, "energy": 30.416271, "activity_lines": [ 1107.653328, 1119.351742, 1125.95253, 1123.728804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1088.0, "volume": 7375203, "typical_volume": 7184432.2, "trend": 1124.597603, "fair_value": 1062.078199, "relative_strength": 0.863649, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.101218, "energy": 40.653766, "activity_lines": [ 1099.653328, 1110.343635, 1123.259721, 1121.200281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1083.099976, "volume": 8148192, "typical_volume": 7239019.75, "trend": 1122.005037, "fair_value": 1063.789872, "relative_strength": -2.178066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.403187, "energy": 47.982473, "activity_lines": [ 1091.586654, 1102.910902, 1120.19229, 1118.523015 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1082.300049, "volume": 6910204, "typical_volume": 7211441.2, "trend": 1119.213924, "fair_value": 1065.483256, "relative_strength": -3.04668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.044487, "energy": 53.803933, "activity_lines": [ 1086.466675, 1097.127275, 1117.007761, 1115.961403 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }