{ "ticker": { "uuid": "684c95b5-6534-407d-bcf7-d26c4c97a8ed", "symbol": "SIGI", "name": "Selective Insurance Group, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.883, "architecture_energy": 43.16, "architecture_maturity": 66.722, "architecture_confidence": 55.842, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.59, "rotation_up": 40.83, "upward_expansion": 71.03, "deceleration": 73.39, "rotation_down": 27.57, "downward_expansion": 11.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.876667, 95.875273, 92.581201, 89.525084 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 96.23, "trend_reference": 86.414668, "distance_from_trend": 0.113584, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.564368, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.406354, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078583, "excess_performance": -0.108871, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113584, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060658, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.086554, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134819, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014064, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147227, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078583, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.493971, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1976739, "relative_activity": 0.710416, "balance": 1.493971, "dry_up": 1.064207, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05249, "annualized_volatility": 0.222533, "from_high_reference": -0.041534, "from_low_reference": 0.330243 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 86.414668, "fair_value_reference": 88.564368, "structural_low": 72.426898, 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"trend": 85.591584, "fair_value": 88.58178, "relative_strength": 7.260421, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.367497, "energy": 63.426874, "activity_lines": [ 96.792, 95.244909, 90.997684, 88.271281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.79, "volume": 4161204, "typical_volume": 2835854.2, "trend": 85.994475, "fair_value": 88.55968, "relative_strength": 4.965669, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.416476, "energy": 45.919866, "activity_lines": [ 96.044, 95.466364, 91.765516, 88.864727 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.23, "volume": 1976739, "typical_volume": 2782510.45, "trend": 86.414668, "fair_value": 88.564368, "relative_strength": 1.406354, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.883459, "energy": 43.159831, "activity_lines": [ 95.876667, 95.875273, 92.581201, 89.525084 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }