{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "685d0450-a0fc-46f9-a3c7-078b9bba5c59",
    "symbol": "GXI",
    "name": "Gerresheimer AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.321,
    "architecture_energy": 34.583,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.669,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.515,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.24,
        "rotation_up": 42.1,
        "upward_expansion": 73.87,
        "deceleration": 65.92,
        "rotation_down": 27.34,
        "downward_expansion": 9.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.162667,
        27.16,
        26.453905,
        25.154452
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.34,
    "trend_reference": 24.019667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096601,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.277021,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.596489,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -23.31022,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.024106,
    "excess_performance": -0.150141,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096601,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010008,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.596489,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016381,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.233102,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084485,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024106,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.055905,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 225,
      "relative_activity": 0.075661,
      "balance": 2.055905,
      "dry_up": 0.866064,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.08253,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.790143,
      "from_high_reference": -0.432572,
      "from_low_reference": 0.71039
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.019667,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.277021,
      "structural_low": 15.4,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.014045,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02864,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.172613,
        "worst_return": -0.182977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.000964,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040778,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.283528,
        "worst_return": -0.190331,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.17276,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.219857,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.229971,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.392603,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.237331,
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        "best_return": 0.333114,
        "worst_return": -0.457024,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.073942,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.030799,
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 24.639999,
        "volume": 7116,
        "typical_volume": 2591.8,
        "trend": 23.932333,
        "fair_value": 72.268803,
        "relative_strength": -40.138929,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.072752,
        "energy": 13.260081,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.113333,
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          21.353428,
          22.480301
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 27.799999,
        "volume": 3406,
        "typical_volume": 2729.75,
        "trend": 23.897666,
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        "relative_strength": -31.758683,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.81355,
        "energy": 35.423335,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.389333,
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          21.842333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 24.959999,
        "volume": 5551,
        "typical_volume": 3007.3,
        "trend": 23.831666,
        "fair_value": 71.335396,
        "relative_strength": -36.854124,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.927273,
        "energy": 34.369934,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 2541,
        "typical_volume": 3134.35,
        "trend": 23.792333,
        "fair_value": 70.873995,
        "relative_strength": -30.134052,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.449139,
        "energy": 54.388463,
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          26.170666,
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          23.035032
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 27.42,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 3184.35,
        "trend": 23.781666,
        "fair_value": 70.384547,
        "relative_strength": -30.19794,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.772749,
        "energy": 61.603618,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 26.02,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3184.35,
        "trend": 23.847666,
        "fair_value": 69.875219,
        "relative_strength": -31.724601,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.936215,
        "energy": 49.766263,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 25.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3177.85,
        "trend": 23.871,
        "fair_value": 69.34331,
        "relative_strength": -33.701513,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.403811,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 23.947,
        "fair_value": 68.816105,
        "relative_strength": -34.432074,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.466268,
        "energy": 29.444215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.98,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3106.65,
        "trend": 23.931,
        "fair_value": 68.328046,
        "relative_strength": -30.946016,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.18038,
        "energy": 21.433988,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.902667,
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          24.209238,
          23.766666
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.08,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2616.7,
        "trend": 24.004333,
        "fair_value": 67.822428,
        "relative_strength": -25.510641,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.950678,
        "energy": 43.851761,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.557333,
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          24.734809,
          24.034344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 28.66,
        "volume": 13130,
        "typical_volume": 3241.55,
        "trend": 24.030333,
        "fair_value": 67.328124,
        "relative_strength": -21.307222,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.378005,
        "energy": 62.673232,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.361333,
          26.905818,
          25.275809,
          24.334709
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.700001,
        "volume": 2475,
        "typical_volume": 3210.45,
        "trend": 24.089,
        "fair_value": 66.833444,
        "relative_strength": -18.054526,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.86082,
        "energy": 75.685586,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.002667,
          27.258909,
          25.782238,
          24.635978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.92,
        "volume": 3867,
        "typical_volume": 3154.15,
        "trend": 24.054333,
        "fair_value": 66.315879,
        "relative_strength": -25.268266,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.382517,
        "energy": 59.066845,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.501334,
          27.090182,
          25.968476,
          24.754107
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.98,
        "volume": 3735,
        "typical_volume": 3192.1,
        "trend": 24.060333,
        "fair_value": 65.838742,
        "relative_strength": -17.84423,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.17376,
        "energy": 49.256475,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.672,
          27.278546,
          26.31419,
          25.007376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.34,
        "volume": 225,
        "typical_volume": 2973.8,
        "trend": 24.019667,
        "fair_value": 65.277021,
        "relative_strength": -23.31022,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.320846,
        "energy": 34.582899,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.162667,
          27.16,
          26.453905,
          25.154452
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}