{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6865b9ab-7afe-40ec-9f5f-1a56e4cc9750", "symbol": "LMT", "name": "Lockheed Martin Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.343, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 9.595, "architecture_energy": 26.547, "architecture_maturity": 6.421, "architecture_confidence": 74.015, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.33, "rotation_up": 48.37, "upward_expansion": 37.2, "deceleration": 34.87, "rotation_down": 19.55, "downward_expansion": 47.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 570.618, 552.401636, 541.977236, 555.417771 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 587.95, "trend_reference": 573.820864, "distance_from_trend": 0.024623, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 477.03619, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.232506, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.988381, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.046001, "excess_performance": -0.171626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024623, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043093, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.232506, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155751, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009884, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105826, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046001, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.17605, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4861122, "relative_activity": 0.766759, "balance": 1.17605, "dry_up": 0.966171, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056549, "annualized_volatility": 0.345197, "from_high_reference": -0.144686, "from_low_reference": 0.423985 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 573.820864, "fair_value_reference": 477.03619, "structural_low": 487.15, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.004795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008146, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.106187, "worst_return": -0.056901, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.055777, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.047553, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.262932, "worst_return": -0.11215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.121563, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.157775, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.298489, "worst_return": 0.008598, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": 3.228227, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.779444, "energy": 15.383609, "activity_lines": [ 541.130667, 533.224954, 535.230872, 553.513132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 582.74, "volume": 6907088, "typical_volume": 6679191.55, "trend": 572.108596, "fair_value": 475.952579, "relative_strength": 1.842303, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.727845, "energy": 15.612245, "activity_lines": [ 557.517333, 542.821824, 538.215546, 554.395744 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 587.95, "volume": 4861122, "typical_volume": 6339831.5, "trend": 573.820864, "fair_value": 477.03619, "relative_strength": -0.988381, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.595433, "energy": 26.546693, "activity_lines": [ 570.618, 552.401636, 541.977236, 555.417771 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }