{ "ticker": { "uuid": "686653fa-b099-47c7-970f-3b89607132a7", "symbol": "NBN", "name": "Northeast Bancorp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.286, "architecture_energy": 23.739, "architecture_maturity": 65.938, "architecture_confidence": 84.775, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.61, "rotation_up": 38.85, "upward_expansion": 63.15, "deceleration": 83.87, "rotation_down": 22.8, "downward_expansion": 13.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 129.896667, 130.303091, 127.762896, 124.741165 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 133.44, "trend_reference": 121.321286, "distance_from_trend": 0.099889, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.704451, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.57536, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.896641, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0648, "excess_performance": -0.122654, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099889, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101335, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.57536, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030648, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.048966, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031625, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0648, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.192582, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 511050, "relative_activity": 0.813152, "balance": 1.192582, "dry_up": 0.982972, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085785, "annualized_volatility": 0.325826, "from_high_reference": -0.062329, "from_low_reference": 0.652882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 121.321286, "fair_value_reference": 84.704451, "structural_low": 103.791474, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.009384, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.016559, "regime_survival": 0.685714, "best_return": 0.266967, "worst_return": -0.240009, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.063233, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.004451, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.449127, "worst_return": -0.182796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.106761, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.056961, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.707216, "worst_return": -0.192138, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": 8.84327, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.383966, "energy": 52.001882, "activity_lines": [ 132.363333, 129.858364, 126.011084, 122.958931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 129.24, "volume": 560441, "typical_volume": 631028.65, "trend": 119.763129, "fair_value": 83.663145, "relative_strength": 7.678698, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.052691, "energy": 36.765041, "activity_lines": [ 131.568667, 130.233818, 126.719825, 123.620336 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 124.17, "volume": 841182, "typical_volume": 635424.7, "trend": 120.474027, "fair_value": 84.153766, "relative_strength": 2.753719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.957647, "energy": 22.257918, "activity_lines": [ 128.900667, 129.431818, 126.835668, 123.90465 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 133.44, "volume": 511050, "typical_volume": 628480.2, "trend": 121.321286, "fair_value": 84.704451, "relative_strength": 4.896641, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.28647, "energy": 23.739346, "activity_lines": [ 129.896667, 130.303091, 127.762896, 124.741165 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }