{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6889c956-33a0-466c-8cd6-2e92f3d19727", "symbol": "GFGF", "name": "GURU FAVORITE STOCKS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.112, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.043, "architecture_energy": 57.621, "architecture_maturity": 29.863, "architecture_confidence": 73.974, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.71, "rotation_up": 57.33, "upward_expansion": 81.82, "deceleration": 62.59, "rotation_down": 24.79, "downward_expansion": 8.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.026787, 35.829402, 35.486469, 34.948487 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.8358, "trend_reference": 34.53192, "distance_from_trend": 0.066717, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.397753, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.211793, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.35599, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.075444, "excess_performance": -0.112009, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066717, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007509, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.211793, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009455, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06356, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065452, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075444, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 25.212749, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 63972, "relative_activity": 7.134357, "balance": 25.212749, "dry_up": 4.250258, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018811, "annualized_volatility": 0.157641, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.201754 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.53192, "fair_value_reference": 30.397753, "structural_low": 30.6517, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.015792, "positive_rate": 0.678571, "directional_follow_through": 0.678571, "median_excess_return": -6.7e-05, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.080135, "worst_return": -0.059757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.035747, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.00826, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.134287, "worst_return": -0.044555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.084371, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.016314, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.17385, "worst_return": -0.001464, "sufficient": true 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"volume": 726, "typical_volume": 1584.25, "trend": 34.492825, "fair_value": 30.062363, "relative_strength": -9.301304, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.717632, "energy": 68.636112, "activity_lines": [ 35.735413, 35.574918, 34.9265, 34.597677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.736, "volume": 1198, "typical_volume": 1615.15, "trend": 34.514153, "fair_value": 30.14404, "relative_strength": -6.21197, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.030443, "energy": 74.909464, "activity_lines": [ 35.794567, 35.623224, 35.070548, 34.677882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.8625, "volume": 1639, "typical_volume": 1665.75, "trend": 34.483527, "fair_value": 30.219433, "relative_strength": -6.755527, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.553804, "energy": 53.387151, "activity_lines": [ 35.52888, 35.503404, 35.122024, 34.700355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.0013, "volume": 85635, "typical_volume": 5895.9, "trend": 34.50753, "fair_value": 30.305405, "relative_strength": -4.02881, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.369695, "energy": 49.031056, "activity_lines": [ 35.675127, 35.594758, 35.273449, 34.798276 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.8358, "volume": 63972, "typical_volume": 8966.75, "trend": 34.53192, "fair_value": 30.397753, "relative_strength": -6.35599, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.043052, "energy": 57.620658, "activity_lines": [ 36.026787, 35.829402, 35.486469, 34.948487 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }