{ "ticker": { "uuid": "689389d7-6bc7-4020-a132-13c7f4c1e557", "symbol": "BBSI", "name": "Barrett Business Services Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.126, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.34, "architecture_energy": 41.786, "architecture_maturity": 24.264, "architecture_confidence": 58.168, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.93, "rotation_up": 53.43, "upward_expansion": 79.06, "deceleration": 67.4, "rotation_down": 23.56, "downward_expansion": 8.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.259, 37.100182, 35.078609, 33.770424 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 33.18, "trend_reference": 33.094956, "distance_from_trend": 0.00257, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.915651, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.04971, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.441854, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.1186, "excess_performance": -0.306054, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00257, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008584, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.04971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068071, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.204419, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150292, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1186, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.619133, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2066049, "relative_activity": 1.779062, "balance": 1.619133, "dry_up": 1.168232, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100155, "annualized_volatility": 0.487213, "from_high_reference": -0.326535, "from_low_reference": 0.316841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.094956, "fair_value_reference": 34.915651, "structural_low": 25.196664, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.004554, "positive_rate": 0.59375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.001315, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.116901, "worst_return": -0.130823, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.061463, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030155, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.26212, "worst_return": -0.194234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.156049, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.056704, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.25084, "worst_return": -0.183552, "sufficient": 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"gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.333045, "energy": 69.421535, "activity_lines": [ 36.481333, 34.90386, 32.853391, 32.500708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.08, "volume": 1106827, "typical_volume": 1216152.2, "trend": 33.037081, "fair_value": 34.630557, "relative_strength": -2.670148, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.291789, "energy": 78.876547, "activity_lines": [ 37.934, 36.092435, 33.691071, 32.963194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.745, "volume": 755605, "typical_volume": 1175906.35, "trend": 33.160468, "fair_value": 34.744601, "relative_strength": -1.207535, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.782757, "energy": 86.621675, "activity_lines": [ 38.881, 37.033091, 34.437511, 33.395963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.04, "volume": 1498253, "typical_volume": 1134411.45, "trend": 33.255382, "fair_value": 34.849625, "relative_strength": -2.78069, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.103546, "energy": 77.697251, "activity_lines": [ 39.146, 37.667727, 35.06475, 33.775287 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.18, "volume": 2066049, "typical_volume": 1161313.4, "trend": 33.094956, "fair_value": 34.915651, "relative_strength": -20.441854, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.339825, "energy": 41.786042, "activity_lines": [ 37.259, 37.100182, 35.078609, 33.770424 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }