{ "ticker": { "uuid": "68968c7d-40fa-4e2e-a6be-6c57dd40fc8d", "symbol": "RLAY", "name": "Relay Therapeutics\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.497, "architecture_energy": 55.393, "architecture_maturity": 49.87, "architecture_confidence": 87.163, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 58.48, "upward_expansion": 82.02, "deceleration": 64.63, "rotation_down": 22.22, "downward_expansion": 8.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.287667, 18.770182, 16.970524, 15.507226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.77, "trend_reference": 13.4005, "distance_from_trend": 0.475318, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.750641, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.550757, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 71.412947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.216368, "excess_performance": 1.028914, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.475318, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.342242, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.550757, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.80745, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.714129, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162917, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.216368, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.76679, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9909348, "relative_activity": 0.557759, "balance": 2.76679, "dry_up": 0.613243, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120058, "annualized_volatility": 0.682082, "from_high_reference": -0.049062, "from_low_reference": 5.27619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.4005, "fair_value_reference": 7.750641, "structural_low": 8.35, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.176507, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.189724, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.691221, "worst_return": -0.272076, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.429537, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.321352, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.012531, "worst_return": 0.290162, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.596491, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.581991, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 1.596491, "worst_return": 1.596491, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.567645, "energy": 87.099335, "activity_lines": [ 18.458333, 16.69, 15.160143, 13.763613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.91, "volume": 11359188, "typical_volume": 18242975.65, "trend": 12.3235, "fair_value": 7.604263, "relative_strength": 94.339211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.193556, "energy": 87.517321, "activity_lines": [ 19.234667, 17.510636, 15.74169, 14.277817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.44, "volume": 9580606, "typical_volume": 18141195.0, "trend": 12.652833, "fair_value": 7.644103, "relative_strength": 78.184374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.265218, "energy": 79.533095, "activity_lines": [ 19.181, 17.934, 16.137286, 14.67243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.83, "volume": 12731187, "typical_volume": 17799408.65, "trend": 13.007833, "fair_value": 7.692692, "relative_strength": 76.191103, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.031704, "energy": 65.21091, "activity_lines": [ 19.086667, 18.314818, 16.52931, 15.070957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.77, "volume": 9909348, "typical_volume": 17766348.1, "trend": 13.4005, "fair_value": 7.750641, "relative_strength": 71.412947, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.496998, "energy": 55.393045, "activity_lines": [ 19.287667, 18.770182, 16.970524, 15.507226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }