{ "ticker": { "uuid": "689fafd7-1aee-41bd-ad7c-6d5598690286", "symbol": "BANCOINDIA", "name": "Banco Products (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.819, "architecture_energy": 24.597, "architecture_maturity": 50.45, "architecture_confidence": 92.797, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.98, "rotation_up": 33.45, "upward_expansion": 59.12, "deceleration": 84.76, "rotation_down": 30.78, "downward_expansion": 20.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 654.010002, 659.731812, 650.434279, 635.120637 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 686.950012, "trend_reference": 619.432404, "distance_from_trend": 0.108999, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 453.0273, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.516355, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.273856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.11209, "excess_performance": 0.1558, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.108999, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025028, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.516355, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034589, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.062739, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017944, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11209, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.061583, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 783835, "relative_activity": 1.045488, "balance": 2.061583, "dry_up": 0.809096, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062596, "annualized_volatility": 0.358135, "from_high_reference": -0.201024, "from_low_reference": 0.368426 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 619.432404, "fair_value_reference": 453.0273, "structural_low": 502.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.022322, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00627, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.30068, "worst_return": -0.19062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.080382, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.033799, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.509515, "worst_return": -0.267664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.287168, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.217792, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.214276, "worst_return": -0.200054, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-17", "close": 659.599976, "volume": 479864, "typical_volume": 810645.75, "trend": 622.961528, "fair_value": 443.83104, "relative_strength": 3.792209, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.714328, "energy": 45.724511, "activity_lines": [ 671.56331, 667.486347, 643.954378, 630.563791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 608.450012, "volume": 720572, "typical_volume": 812948.4, "trend": 620.555676, "fair_value": 446.754353, "relative_strength": -2.077865, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.369022, "energy": 18.443804, "activity_lines": [ 650.883321, 658.536352, 642.968667, 629.627564 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 637.25, "volume": 442149, "typical_volume": 766718.0, "trend": 618.501713, "fair_value": 449.863143, "relative_strength": -0.273099, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.592526, "energy": 19.885735, "activity_lines": [ 643.443327, 654.820899, 644.560944, 630.704617 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 686.950012, "volume": 783835, "typical_volume": 749731.4, "trend": 619.432404, "fair_value": 453.0273, "relative_strength": 6.273856, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.819315, "energy": 24.596772, "activity_lines": [ 654.010002, 659.731812, 650.434279, 635.120637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }