{ "ticker": { "uuid": "689fb736-1b04-46e2-b302-6e07c5899643", "symbol": "8077", "name": "Green World Hotels Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.214, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.364, "architecture_energy": 11.696, "architecture_maturity": 35.65, "architecture_confidence": 73.084, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.43, "rotation_up": 20.12, "upward_expansion": 42.49, "deceleration": 81.59, "rotation_down": 40.18, "downward_expansion": 36.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.873333, 45.608182, 46.04381, 45.426129 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 44.299999, "trend_reference": 44.761667, "distance_from_trend": -0.010314, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.990065, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.036748, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.275963, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.030635, "excess_performance": -0.472007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010314, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013357, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.036748, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009428, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039489, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.030635, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.513294, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27187, "relative_activity": 1.189923, "balance": 1.513294, "dry_up": 0.428818, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086821, "annualized_volatility": 0.375964, "from_high_reference": -0.213144, "from_low_reference": 0.117337 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.761667, "fair_value_reference": 45.990065, "structural_low": 39.700001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.005675, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.029299, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.42449, "worst_return": -0.08, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.051163, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.195504, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.339583, "worst_return": -0.222395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.032531, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.155494, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.099299, "worst_return": -0.19814, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.078049, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011765, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.039474, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.063084, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005917, "active": false }, { 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.587185, "energy": 41.199668, "activity_lines": [ 44.963334, 43.750909, 43.375714, 43.493333 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 54.0, "volume": 145055, "typical_volume": 16362.3, "trend": 44.171667, "fair_value": 45.27684, "relative_strength": -20.723871, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 60.516619, "energy": 71.314733, "activity_lines": [ 48.390001, 45.713637, 44.389048, 44.143763 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 49.0, "volume": 51000, "typical_volume": 18612.25, "trend": 44.256667, "fair_value": 45.364075, "relative_strength": -25.694431, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.947038, "energy": 77.192491, "activity_lines": [ 49.35, 46.54, 44.87381, 44.455269 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 49.950001, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 18962.25, "trend": 44.405, "fair_value": 45.439312, "relative_strength": -27.2562, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.562228, "energy": 79.454225, "activity_lines": [ 50.006667, 47.451819, 45.422857, 44.822581 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 47.049999, "volume": 22452, "typical_volume": 19984.85, "trend": 44.436667, "fair_value": 45.509448, "relative_strength": -27.807736, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.60408, "energy": 65.272208, "activity_lines": [ 49.23, 47.73, 45.65881, 44.993226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 47.950001, "volume": 13000, "typical_volume": 20093.6, "trend": 44.501667, "fair_value": 45.589646, "relative_strength": -29.15461, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.292934, "energy": 37.835652, "activity_lines": [ 48.653334, 48.072728, 45.974048, 45.219893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 16003, "typical_volume": 20443.6, "trend": 44.535, "fair_value": 45.658668, "relative_strength": -26.975156, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.174747, "energy": 26.134172, "activity_lines": [ 47.940001, 48.217273, 46.230953, 45.410108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.049999, "volume": 28043, "typical_volume": 21438.2, "trend": 44.543333, "fair_value": 45.705895, "relative_strength": -27.228163, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.168904, "energy": 17.100683, "activity_lines": [ 46.53, 47.644546, 46.154762, 45.378817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.150002, "volume": 2000, "typical_volume": 21538.2, "trend": 44.588334, "fair_value": 45.753763, "relative_strength": -28.016611, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.404383, "energy": 17.025782, "activity_lines": [ 45.483334, 47.01091, 46.079524, 45.353441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.75, "volume": 7000, "typical_volume": 21688.2, "trend": 44.616667, "fair_value": 45.807344, "relative_strength": -27.121345, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.77143, "energy": 18.726634, "activity_lines": [ 44.690001, 46.282728, 45.957143, 45.299355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.0, "volume": 3003, "typical_volume": 21538.35, "trend": 44.718333, "fair_value": 45.898927, "relative_strength": -23.016229, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.62366, "energy": 20.368441, "activity_lines": [ 45.2, 46.178182, 46.140953, 45.453118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 44.299999, "volume": 27187, "typical_volume": 22847.7, "trend": 44.761667, "fair_value": 45.990065, "relative_strength": -29.275963, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.363911, "energy": 11.696222, "activity_lines": [ 44.873333, 45.608182, 46.04381, 45.426129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }