{ "ticker": { "uuid": "689fcd78-0e98-4bc2-a081-3e2efa2968f9", "symbol": "MANINDS", "name": "Man Industries (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.547, "architecture_energy": 21.033, "architecture_maturity": 62.65, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.0, "rotation_up": 26.76, "upward_expansion": 57.34, "deceleration": 87.68, "rotation_down": 29.04, "downward_expansion": 18.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 540.806653, 549.953627, 544.804995, 517.874082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 555.049988, "trend_reference": 476.238331, "distance_from_trend": 0.165488, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 370.747499, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.497111, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 24.348605, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.52759, "excess_performance": 0.5713, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165488, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106236, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.497111, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07789, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.243486, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092804, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.52759, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.412838, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1376424, "relative_activity": 0.494022, "balance": 3.412838, "dry_up": 0.335105, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085862, "annualized_volatility": 0.642813, "from_high_reference": -0.094535, "from_low_reference": 0.83761 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 476.238331, "fair_value_reference": 370.747499, "structural_low": 315.549988, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.012126, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.042407, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.171608, "worst_return": -0.094017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.069777, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.02955, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.74189, "worst_return": -0.131659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.122967, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.023986, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.016045, "worst_return": -0.271546, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.699443, "energy": 54.724414, "activity_lines": [ 572.753333, 561.881818, 532.818333, 498.965268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 529.549988, "volume": 860908, "typical_volume": 3081163.3, "trend": 460.411666, "fair_value": 363.210131, "relative_strength": 21.645461, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.879922, "energy": 39.9505, "activity_lines": [ 559.153329, 557.23727, 535.887855, 503.686988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 527.349976, "volume": 931735, "typical_volume": 2893403.05, "trend": 464.929999, "fair_value": 365.7076, "relative_strength": 23.361685, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.605375, "energy": 27.348834, "activity_lines": [ 545.913322, 552.197266, 538.425948, 508.005589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 532.299988, "volume": 565554, "typical_volume": 2813676.65, "trend": 469.458331, "fair_value": 368.092691, "relative_strength": 20.852558, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.132376, "energy": 20.455686, "activity_lines": [ 538.339986, 548.653628, 540.857376, 512.352039 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 555.049988, "volume": 1376424, "typical_volume": 2786158.95, "trend": 476.238331, "fair_value": 370.747499, "relative_strength": 24.348605, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.547211, "energy": 21.033416, "activity_lines": [ 540.806653, 549.953627, 544.804995, 517.874082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }