{ "ticker": { "uuid": "68c34a9d-3fa4-4721-b5df-84ec4fc89035", "symbol": "SMG", "name": "Scotts Miracle-Gro Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.47, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.709, "architecture_energy": 20.96, "architecture_maturity": 22.268, "architecture_confidence": 41.312, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.2, "rotation_up": 41.46, "upward_expansion": 62.76, "deceleration": 60.93, "rotation_down": 21.61, "downward_expansion": 15.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.176, 66.607455, 64.545465, 64.029201 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 62.91, "trend_reference": 63.700999, "distance_from_trend": -0.012417, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.963607, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.049136, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.365846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.032078, "excess_performance": -0.157703, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012417, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053747, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.049136, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030112, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.073658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031107, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032078, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.575395, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6107438, "relative_activity": 1.282324, "balance": 0.575395, "dry_up": 1.194878, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098833, "annualized_volatility": 0.37276, "from_high_reference": -0.164985, "from_low_reference": 0.245303 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.700999, "fair_value_reference": 59.963607, "structural_low": 53.6, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 65.68, "volume": 6547910, "typical_volume": 4688051.8, "trend": 63.621251, "fair_value": 59.853004, "relative_strength": -0.054846, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.291905, "energy": 34.354719, "activity_lines": [ 67.892667, 67.046364, 64.584651, 64.075089 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.91, "volume": 6107438, "typical_volume": 4762790.25, "trend": 63.700999, "fair_value": 59.963607, "relative_strength": -7.365846, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.709392, "energy": 20.959971, "activity_lines": [ 66.176, 66.607455, 64.545465, 64.029201 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }