{ "ticker": { "uuid": "68cd1f3b-e7b5-490c-8d49-a4395cd80cb4", "symbol": "6127", "name": "LEATEC Fine Ceramics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.439, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.688, "architecture_energy": 33.878, "architecture_maturity": 45.703, "architecture_confidence": 58.793, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.19, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 16.74, "deceleration": 70.77, "rotation_down": 63.94, "downward_expansion": 41.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.203333, 59.776364, 62.300953, 58.229355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.700001, "trend_reference": 52.195, "distance_from_trend": -0.009484, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.615184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.688705, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.89129, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.466667, "excess_performance": 0.025295, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009484, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.300162, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.688705, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038913, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142891, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.466667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.771498, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22330124, "relative_activity": 0.273796, "balance": 3.771498, "dry_up": 0.243097, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.269528, "annualized_volatility": 0.951097, "from_high_reference": -0.493137, "from_low_reference": 1.954286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.195, "fair_value_reference": 30.615184, "structural_low": 31.700001, "invalidation": "A 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06334, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02243, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.032864, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.210428, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0358, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.075472, 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.272993, "energy": 43.569158, "activity_lines": [ 75.393334, 75.630001, 65.64881, 58.662904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.099998, "volume": 18635054, "typical_volume": 87210133.6, "trend": 51.048333, "fair_value": 30.072173, "relative_strength": 2.75574, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.879994, "energy": 21.039853, "activity_lines": [ 66.18, 72.076364, 65.143572, 58.772258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 45.950001, "volume": 18157890, "typical_volume": 87581354.0, "trend": 51.381667, "fair_value": 30.233979, "relative_strength": -8.505138, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.966505, "energy": 24.068007, "activity_lines": [ 57.07, 67.301819, 63.980477, 58.443334 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.099998, "volume": 20182558, "typical_volume": 83938488.05, "trend": 51.735, "fair_value": 30.413043, "relative_strength": -6.956384, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.845452, "energy": 32.148203, "activity_lines": [ 51.706666, 63.037273, 62.970476, 58.231613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.700001, "volume": 22330124, "typical_volume": 81557587.7, "trend": 52.195, "fair_value": 30.615184, "relative_strength": -3.89129, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.687518, "energy": 33.877885, "activity_lines": [ 50.203333, 59.776364, 62.300953, 58.229355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }