{ "ticker": { "uuid": "68d6df4e-30da-4ed4-a709-0681e66b8fed", "symbol": "JPM", "name": "JPMorgan Chase & Co.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.373, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.597, "architecture_energy": 87.392, "architecture_maturity": 17.784, "architecture_confidence": 75.801, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.34, "rotation_up": 83.81, "upward_expansion": 98.96, "deceleration": 39.56, "rotation_down": 8.85, "downward_expansion": 20.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 6112.361393, 5984.386477, 5738.339382, 5603.475823 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 6135.0, "trend_reference": 5466.436365, "distance_from_trend": 0.122303, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4500.783935, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.363096, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.890306, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107716, "excess_performance": 0.162383, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122303, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007635, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.363096, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134834, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078903, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.22059, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107716, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.698679, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2079, "relative_activity": 0.248778, "balance": 0.698679, "dry_up": 1.267194, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029171, "annualized_volatility": 0.179783, "from_high_reference": -0.021063, "from_low_reference": 0.248321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5466.436365, "fair_value_reference": 4500.783935, "structural_low": 4914.599425, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.007847, "positive_rate": 0.633333, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": 0.012312, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.114059, "worst_return": -0.110475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.020499, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.052604, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.169533, "worst_return": -0.03523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.025507, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.076594, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.320784, "worst_return": -0.241688, "sufficient": true }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6150.0, "volume": 10016, "typical_volume": 8376.4, "trend": 5450.331206, "fair_value": 4456.342444, "relative_strength": 8.928507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.595398, "energy": 93.972922, "activity_lines": [ 6016.565449, 5837.246247, 5619.177716, 5517.258678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6111.910156, "volume": 6260, "typical_volume": 8352.65, "trend": 5460.213188, "fair_value": 4478.208428, "relative_strength": 7.47159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.416492, "energy": 88.94356, "activity_lines": [ 6072.336479, 5915.961923, 5680.142733, 5559.94119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6135.0, "volume": 2079, "typical_volume": 8356.85, "trend": 5466.436365, "fair_value": 4500.783935, "relative_strength": 7.890306, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.596961, "energy": 87.391981, "activity_lines": [ 6112.361393, 5984.386477, 5738.339382, 5603.475823 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }