{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "68dd4d84-c8e2-49bf-911e-776ad0711dcb",
    "symbol": "SPVI",
    "name": "S P V I Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.294,
    "architecture_energy": 70.915,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.201,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.38,
        "rotation_up": 73.51,
        "upward_expansion": 88.73,
        "deceleration": 45.71,
        "rotation_down": 14.3,
        "downward_expansion": 13.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.572,
        3.444,
        3.338,
        3.181303
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.86,
    "trend_reference": 2.936117,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.314662,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.522705,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.530103,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 30.278635,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.646187,
    "excess_performance": 0.453862,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314662,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171908,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.530103,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.301229,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302786,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043514,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.646187,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.330221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12977000,
      "relative_activity": 3.527571,
      "balance": 3.330221,
      "dry_up": 1.643629,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.074532,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.429972,
      "from_high_reference": -0.044554,
      "from_low_reference": 1.041272
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.936117,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.522705,
      "structural_low": 2.12,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.016586,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011219,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.213235,
        "worst_return": -0.045491,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056383,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.333907,
        "worst_return": -0.091928,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.107068,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.140116,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.059406,
        "worst_return": -0.273542,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.255077,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.074354,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.790682,
        "worst_return": -0.280527,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.095455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.116721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.098039,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.20979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.33403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.229358,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.177914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.128713,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
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        "return": 0.069307,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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          3.285333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 3669545.0,
        "trend": 2.690008,
        "fair_value": 2.536638,
        "relative_strength": 9.898221,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 2.734563,
        "fair_value": 2.533789,
        "relative_strength": 15.549778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "gate": "up",
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          3.236,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.42,
        "volume": 4912500,
        "typical_volume": 3557960.0,
        "trend": 2.782379,
        "fair_value": 2.531324,
        "relative_strength": 15.732987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.948954,
        "energy": 28.147709,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.290667,
          3.318909,
          3.202571,
          3.037017
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.36,
        "volume": 4134200,
        "typical_volume": 3564905.0,
        "trend": 2.826303,
        "fair_value": 2.528036,
        "relative_strength": 12.771473,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.492757,
        "energy": 33.301947,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.322667,
          3.323273,
          3.231524,
          3.074283
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.5,
        "volume": 2162200,
        "typical_volume": 3118085.0,
        "trend": 2.874895,
        "fair_value": 2.525096,
        "relative_strength": 18.043508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.45139,
        "energy": 45.45641,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.405333,
          3.352,
          3.269429,
          3.117747
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.86,
        "volume": 12977000,
        "typical_volume": 3678735.0,
        "trend": 2.936117,
        "fair_value": 2.522705,
        "relative_strength": 30.278635,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.294412,
        "energy": 70.914808,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.572,
          3.444,
          3.338,
          3.181303
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}