{ "ticker": { "uuid": "68e7fda6-e671-4517-a327-a9a7620e4811", "symbol": "BEAM", "name": "Beam Therapeutics Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.626, "architecture_energy": 64.694, "architecture_maturity": 43.003, "architecture_confidence": 62.997, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.85, "rotation_up": 13.34, "upward_expansion": 12.01, "deceleration": 54.74, "rotation_down": 81.32, "downward_expansion": 80.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 484.085999, 532.027821, 540.743002, 541.59469 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 436.809998, "trend_reference": 549.871667, "distance_from_trend": -0.205615, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 505.987628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136718, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.725714, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.276805, "excess_performance": -0.222138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205615, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056321, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.136718, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.147257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227028, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.276805, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.103183, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.103183, "dry_up": 4.005941, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097809, "annualized_volatility": 0.625407, "from_high_reference": -0.333115, "from_low_reference": 0.413625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 549.871667, "fair_value_reference": 505.987628, "structural_low": 436.809998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.164878, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.122617, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.369231, "worst_return": -0.372549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.013725, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062003, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.372549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.130392, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.292296, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.130392, "worst_return": -0.130392, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.019608, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.19801, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019608, "worst_return": 0.019608, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.372549, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.015625, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.046154, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.113867, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.204, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.094505, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.061224, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.067308, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.227413, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042048, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.148713, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 750.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, 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"trend": 549.871667, "fair_value": 505.987628, "relative_strength": -14.725714, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.625599, "energy": 64.694094, "activity_lines": [ 484.085999, 532.027821, 540.743002, 541.59469 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }