{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "68f95338-86bc-47d0-80c9-6902dcde976b",
    "symbol": "XCSR",
    "name": "iShares ESG Advanced MSCI Canada Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.869,
    "architecture_energy": 70.433,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.552,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.32,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.26,
        "rotation_up": 68.23,
        "upward_expansion": 87.21,
        "deceleration": 57.96,
        "rotation_down": 22.46,
        "downward_expansion": 11.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        113.329999,
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        109.938135,
        107.716307
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 116.889999,
    "trend_reference": 105.343171,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109612,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.011921,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.460907,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.791401,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.162888,
    "excess_performance": 0.042467,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109612,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032602,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.460907,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073632,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017914,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045135,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.162888,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.076673,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 65300,
      "relative_activity": 1.654631,
      "balance": 2.076673,
      "dry_up": 1.443684,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022689,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.168693,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008819,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307279
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 80.011921,
      "structural_low": 94.097834,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.014307,
        "positive_rate": 0.621622,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.621622,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004268,
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        "best_return": 0.068786,
        "worst_return": -0.068594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "worst_return": -0.115338,
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        "worst_return": -0.068365,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "trend": 100.787367,
        "fair_value": 74.990052,
        "relative_strength": -2.530076,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.650036,
        "energy": 35.814189,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 39584.2,
        "trend": 101.002266,
        "fair_value": 75.290219,
        "relative_strength": -2.479819,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.570307,
        "energy": 43.328976,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 104.871338,
        "volume": 55100,
        "typical_volume": 41822.95,
        "trend": 101.281752,
        "fair_value": 75.595211,
        "relative_strength": -2.722141,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.866603,
        "energy": 53.809334,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 42053.25,
        "trend": 101.462062,
        "fair_value": 75.889364,
        "relative_strength": -3.515929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.906725,
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        "activity_lines": [
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          102.021316
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 105.717239,
        "volume": 63600,
        "typical_volume": 44045.0,
        "trend": 101.695777,
        "fair_value": 76.208016,
        "relative_strength": -2.963793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.408049,
        "energy": 41.372627,
        "activity_lines": [
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          102.295843
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 108.155411,
        "volume": 37400,
        "typical_volume": 44715.0,
        "trend": 102.01721,
        "fair_value": 76.541368,
        "relative_strength": -1.548805,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.29217,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 16800,
        "typical_volume": 44565.0,
        "trend": 102.360387,
        "fair_value": 76.867651,
        "relative_strength": -1.765294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.786607,
        "energy": 49.838662,
        "activity_lines": [
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          103.477664,
          103.020005
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 109.230202,
        "volume": 15300,
        "typical_volume": 44385.0,
        "trend": 102.746488,
        "fair_value": 77.203929,
        "relative_strength": -1.018808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.039376,
        "energy": 68.358218,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 110.543831,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 42900.0,
        "trend": 103.197752,
        "fair_value": 77.559033,
        "relative_strength": 0.071833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.330981,
        "energy": 79.68954,
        "activity_lines": [
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          104.864505,
          103.966273
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 110.75,
        "volume": 12400,
        "typical_volume": 40575.0,
        "trend": 103.515418,
        "fair_value": 77.902036,
        "relative_strength": 0.230601,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.346908,
        "energy": 81.786465,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.689033,
          108.04507,
          105.57411,
          104.453515
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 112.029999,
        "volume": 6800,
        "typical_volume": 37140.0,
        "trend": 103.85709,
        "fair_value": 78.257989,
        "relative_strength": 0.625669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.764121,
        "energy": 88.447939,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.668264,
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          105.002842
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 112.720001,
        "volume": 54400,
        "typical_volume": 37690.0,
        "trend": 104.16883,
        "fair_value": 78.607938,
        "relative_strength": 1.071166,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.306506,
        "energy": 89.728782,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.619191,
          109.920942,
          107.151558,
          105.574643
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 112.029999,
        "volume": 40800,
        "typical_volume": 38620.0,
        "trend": 104.405658,
        "fair_value": 78.949406,
        "relative_strength": 0.583048,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.571171,
        "energy": 86.564716,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.944255,
          110.580588,
          107.837139,
          106.081815
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 110.68,
        "volume": 61500,
        "typical_volume": 39050.0,
        "trend": 104.582217,
        "fair_value": 79.282844,
        "relative_strength": -0.879595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.659147,
        "energy": 81.049776,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.632666,
          110.864623,
          108.35923,
          106.486612
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 111.669998,
        "volume": 60300,
        "typical_volume": 38170.0,
        "trend": 104.917493,
        "fair_value": 79.630808,
        "relative_strength": 0.427403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.644474,
        "energy": 60.256904,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.641999,
          111.193008,
          108.931144,
          106.943888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 116.889999,
        "volume": 65300,
        "typical_volume": 39465.0,
        "trend": 105.343171,
        "fair_value": 80.011921,
        "relative_strength": 1.791401,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.868929,
        "energy": 70.433112,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.329999,
          112.362253,
          109.938135,
          107.716307
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}