{ "ticker": { "uuid": "69176429-8085-4801-ac05-468caf35ea12", "symbol": "TJX", "name": "The TJX Companies, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 93.506, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -5.84, "architecture_energy": 2.84, "architecture_maturity": 18.711, "architecture_confidence": 86.541, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.99, "rotation_up": 35.16, "upward_expansion": 15.55, "deceleration": 34.78, "rotation_down": 29.7, "downward_expansion": 38.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 2729.351383, 2729.627668, 2730.366066, 2736.130028 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2756.610107, "trend_reference": 2732.073486, "distance_from_trend": 0.008981, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2268.789547, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.215014, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.456281, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.022084, "excess_performance": 0.076751, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008981, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003203, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.215014, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004563, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077787, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.022084, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.225629, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10902, "relative_activity": 4.720604, "balance": 0.225629, "dry_up": 1.313841, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034681, "annualized_volatility": 0.199259, "from_high_reference": -0.049442, "from_low_reference": 0.12225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2732.073486, "fair_value_reference": 2268.789547, "structural_low": 2527.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.033582, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.029172, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.111315, "worst_return": -0.092302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005012, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.04826, "worst_return": -0.085769, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.076907, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.077149, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.218527, "worst_return": 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"2026-07-31", "close": 2766.600098, "volume": 418, "typical_volume": 1808.55, "trend": 2735.151969, "fair_value": 2260.395502, "relative_strength": -0.154552, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.46763, "energy": 27.360037, "activity_lines": [ 2709.71735, 2726.182377, 2729.215838, 2734.745632 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2756.610107, "volume": 10902, "typical_volume": 2309.45, "trend": 2732.073486, "fair_value": 2268.789547, "relative_strength": -0.456281, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.839721, "energy": 2.839696, "activity_lines": [ 2729.351383, 2729.627668, 2730.366066, 2736.130028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }