{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "69310bc3-707a-4ccc-8a13-9edf24832143",
    "symbol": "RA",
    "name": "Regional S.A.B. de C.V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 60.106,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -8.161,
    "architecture_energy": 13.955,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.798,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.829,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.49,
        "rotation_up": 37.75,
        "upward_expansion": 22.57,
        "deceleration": 40.84,
        "rotation_down": 17.22,
        "downward_expansion": 54.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        137.928003,
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        136.047862,
        138.659523
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 143.830002,
    "trend_reference": 142.071959,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012374,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 129.529185,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110406,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.781612,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.059707,
    "excess_performance": -0.005041,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012374,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00483,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110406,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004391,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007816,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104649,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059707,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.256804,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3379774,
      "relative_activity": 1.343705,
      "balance": 1.256804,
      "dry_up": 1.496147,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047134,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.233646,
      "from_high_reference": -0.096642,
      "from_low_reference": 0.169215
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 142.071959,
      "fair_value_reference": 129.529185,
      "structural_low": 125.169998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.014313,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.388889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025532,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.231459,
        "worst_return": -0.118309,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.14527,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -10.650266,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2384225.5,
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        "fair_value": 128.855809,
        "relative_strength": -7.88322,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -58.162397,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 126.830002,
        "volume": 4117859,
        "typical_volume": 2458002.75,
        "trend": 141.912975,
        "fair_value": 128.965801,
        "relative_strength": -11.375843,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.439464,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 131.710007,
        "volume": 2774587,
        "typical_volume": 2413832.5,
        "trend": 141.624383,
        "fair_value": 129.089809,
        "relative_strength": -7.296215,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.209045,
        "energy": 40.066347,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.915337,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 142.220001,
        "volume": 4780609,
        "typical_volume": 2465601.45,
        "trend": 141.762605,
        "fair_value": 129.298024,
        "relative_strength": -0.502182,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.7221,
        "energy": 18.40906,
        "activity_lines": [
          134.520003,
          132.939274,
          135.561719,
          138.526143
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 143.830002,
        "volume": 3379774,
        "typical_volume": 2515265.1,
        "trend": 142.071959,
        "fair_value": 129.529185,
        "relative_strength": 0.781612,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.161443,
        "energy": 13.954721,
        "activity_lines": [
          137.928003,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}