{ "ticker": { "uuid": "694a0a96-da68-44ee-a5fa-45f6960a0e9c", "symbol": "6864", "name": "Anti-Microbial Savior BioteQ Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.692, "architecture_energy": 66.437, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.08, "rotation_up": 28.71, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 54.04, "rotation_down": 61.69, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.856666, 42.609091, 46.359048, 50.060645 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 41.849998, "trend_reference": 55.685, "distance_from_trend": -0.248451, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 55.678593, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.248365, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -57.637833, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.414685, "excess_performance": -0.856057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.248451, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178667, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.248365, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.264676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.576378, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041632, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.414685, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.066501, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83788, "relative_activity": 0.450135, "balance": 0.066501, "dry_up": 0.591649, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069387, "annualized_volatility": 0.642009, "from_high_reference": -0.564969, "from_low_reference": 0.04625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.685, "fair_value_reference": 55.678593, "structural_low": 40.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.033909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.076051, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.39485, "worst_return": -0.188954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.087323, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.249274, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.145257, "worst_return": -0.263573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.116187, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.328621, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.161417, "worst_return": -0.411064, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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42.849998, "volume": 97576, "typical_volume": 246294.2, "trend": 60.885, "fair_value": 55.289062, "relative_strength": -57.476613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.984245, "energy": 86.678451, "activity_lines": [ 43.523333, 45.869091, 50.48381, 54.487312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.049999, "volume": 189174, "typical_volume": 227512.05, "trend": 59.706667, "fair_value": 55.37292, "relative_strength": -58.342022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.334157, "energy": 86.770669, "activity_lines": [ 42.846666, 44.755455, 49.376429, 53.272151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.150002, "volume": 105821, "typical_volume": 207751.85, "trend": 58.278334, "fair_value": 55.460613, "relative_strength": -57.751674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.211086, "energy": 77.280683, "activity_lines": [ 42.243333, 43.717273, 48.252143, 52.074947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.049999, "volume": 61734, "typical_volume": 190697.9, "trend": 56.843334, "fair_value": 55.563681, "relative_strength": -56.930812, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.996173, "energy": 67.127912, "activity_lines": [ 42.056667, 43.098182, 47.251429, 51.027957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 41.849998, "volume": 83788, "typical_volume": 186139.55, "trend": 55.685, "fair_value": 55.678593, "relative_strength": -57.637833, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.69156, "energy": 66.436627, "activity_lines": [ 41.856666, 42.609091, 46.359048, 50.060645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }